Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hangs near weekly low, below $1,775 level amid stronger USD


  • Gold price oscillates in a range near the weekly low amid some follow-through USD buying.
  • Expectations that the Fed will continue to tighten its policy act as a tailwind for the buck.
  • The easing of COVID-19 curbs in China also contributes to capping the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Gold price struggles to gain any meaningful traction on Wednesday and oscillates in a narrow trading band through the early European session. The XAU/USD is currently placed just below the $1,775 level and remains well within the striking distance of the weekly low touched on Monday.

The US Dollar prolongs this week's recovery move from over a five-month low for the third straight day, which, in turn, is seen weighing on the Dollar-denominated Gold price. The recent strong US macro data points to the resilient economy and fuels speculations that the might lift rates more than projected. This continues to act as a tailwind for the US Treasury bond yields and pushes the greenback to a one-week high on Wednesday.

Apart from this, the latest optimism led by the easing of COVID-19 restrictions in China turns out to be another factor undermining the safe-haven XAU/USD. That said, expectations that the Fed will slow the pace of its rate-hiking cycle should help limit deeper losses for the non-yielding Gold price. In fact, the markets have been pricing in a relatively smaller 50 bps lift-off at the upcoming FOMC meeting on December 13-14.

Heading into the key central bank event risk, investors will also confront the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures next week. The data will influence the Fed's policy outlook, which should play a key role in driving the near-term USD demand and provide a fresh directional impetus to Gold price. In the meantime, the XAU/USD is likely to extend its sideways consolidative price move in the absence of any relevant economic data.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1772.32
Today Daily Change 0.67
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 1771.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1760.17
Daily SMA50 1703.22
Daily SMA100 1715.71
Daily SMA200 1794.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1780.95
Previous Daily Low 1766.76
Previous Weekly High 1804.52
Previous Weekly Low 1739.72
Previous Monthly High 1786.55
Previous Monthly Low 1616.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1775.53
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1772.18
Daily Pivot Point S1 1765.29
Daily Pivot Point S2 1758.93
Daily Pivot Point S3 1751.1
Daily Pivot Point R1 1779.48
Daily Pivot Point R2 1787.31
Daily Pivot Point R3 1793.67

 

 

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