|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes $1,773 and $1,781 amid weaker USD, yields – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price extends post-Fed upside, as US dollar, yields keep falling.
  • US Q2 GDP contraction smashes aggressive Fed rate hike expectations.
  • The path of least resistance appears northside for XAU/USD.

Gold price is extending the post-Fed bullish momentum, despite eyeing a fourth straight monthly decline this Friday. The bright metal is set to end with the biggest weekly gain since mid-May, as the US dollar correction strengthens. A less hawkish Fed decision, US Q2 GDP contraction and falling odds of a 75 bps Sept lift-off by the world’s most powerful central bank have weighed heavily on the Treasury yields, as well as, the dollar. Growing recession fears in the US and Europe have underpinned the bullion’s safe-haven appeal. The end-of-the-month flows will likely play a crucial role in impacting gold price along with the US PCE inflation going forward.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls target $1,773 hurdle after recapturing 21 DMA

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is looking to extend the uptrend above the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,765.

Acceptance above which will trigger a sharp advance towards the confluence of the SMA200 four-hour and pivot point one-day R2 at $1,773.

Further up, the pivot point one-week R2 at $1,775 will challenge the bearish commitments. Doors will then open up towards the pivot point one-month S1 at $1,781.

On the flip side, the precious day’s high of $1,757 will be the immediate cushion, below which the SMA5 four-hour meet with the pivot point one-month S2 at $1,754

The next stop for sellers is seen at the pivot point one-week R1 at $1,751, followed by the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day $1,748.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.