• Gold consolidates the biggest daily gains since early November.
  • Yields rebounded following Biden’s speech supporting Powell, warning Russia and rejecting peace with China.
  • PBOC action, risk catalysts will entertain traders ahead of second-tier US data, previous support line eyed for direction

Update: Gold price is preserving the previous rally, as it sits close to fresh two-month highs of $1,844 reached in early Asia. The bullish potential in the bright metal appears intact despite the persistent strength seen around the US Treasury yields across the curve. Gold price benefited amid soaring inflation in the UK and Germany, as investors boosted its demand as an inflation hedge. Meanwhile, US President Joe Biden also called out the Fed to rein in the fastest pace of inflation in decades.

Looking ahead, the yields price action and the US dollar valuations will continue to play, with all eyes on the Eurozone final CPI release. The US weekly Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales data could also offer some trading incentives.

Read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD potential strategies in turbulent markets

 

Gold (XAU/USD) pares the stellar gains posted the previous day around $1,839, down 0.22% intraday during the initial Asian session as market sentiment sours.

The yellow metal jumped to the two-month high on Wednesday after the US Treasury yields stepped back from a multi-day peak and drowned the US dollar. However, the latest speech from US President Joe Biden renewed hopes of faster monetary policy normalization by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which in turn favored bond coupons and dragged the gold prices.

US President Biden highlights Chief Trade negotiator Katherine Tai’s efforts to placate Sino-American trade tussles. However, he also mentioned that the US is “'not there yet' on possible easing of tariffs on Chinese goods”. Biden also said, “China is not meeting its purchase commitments.”

Further, comments favoring Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s push to recalibrate the support also raised concerns over faster rate hikes and balance sheet normalization, which in turn exerted additional downside pressure on the gold prices.

Additionally, US President Biden directly warned Russia not to invade Ukraine and if they do they’ll lose access to the US dollar.

Elsewhere, uncertainty surrounding the US stimulus and the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) next moves also weighed on the gold prices. US President Biden signaled that the talks on the Build Back Better (BBB) stimulus is on but US Senator Joe Manchin rejects the comments. Further, the PBOC is up for conveying its Interest Rate Decision at 01:30 AM GMT with market players equally divided amid the Chinese central bank’s early signals of a rate cut and the latest comments from PBOC Deputy Governor Liu Guoqiang. The PBOC official mentioned that the central bank “will keep yuan exchange rate basically stable.”

Against this backdrop, the US 10-year Treasury yields rose 4.5 basis points (bps) to 1.87% whereas the S&P 500 Futures drop 0.15% intraday to portray the risk-off mood at the latest.

Even so, gold prices do trade beyond the short-term key resistance and hence today’s PBOC verdict, as well as risk catalysts, will be important for the watch during Asia. Following that, US Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for January and Existing Home Sales for December will entertain gold traders afterward.

Technical analysis

Gold keeps the bounce off a 50-DMA to stay above a 13-day-old descending trend line. The recovery moves gain support from firmer RSI and bullish MACD signals, suggesting additional bullish momentum on the table.

That said, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) September-November 2021 upside, near $1,840, acts as an immediate hurdle for the gold buyers before challenging multiple lows marked during the mid-November around $1,850.

Should the gold bulls keep reins past $1,850, the late 2021 peak of $1,877 will be the last line of defense for bears, a break of which will throw cards for a rally towards the $1,900 and beyond.

Alternatively, pullback moves remain elusive beyond the resistance-turned-support line from January 03, around $1,825.

Following that, the 50-DMA surrounding $1,806 will be important before directing the metal towards the 100-DMA and five-week-old support line, around $1,795-94.

If at all the gold bears smash $1,794 support, $1,782 and $1,753, comprising the monthly low and 78.6% Fibo. respectively, will be in focus.

Overall, gold buyers have an upper hand both technically, as well as fundamentally, ahead of the next week’s key FOMC.

Gold: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1838.56
Today Daily Change -4.02
Today Daily Change % -0.22%
Today daily open 1842.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1813.17
Daily SMA50 1806.96
Daily SMA100 1794.21
Daily SMA200 1804.06
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1843.35
Previous Daily Low 1810.32
Previous Weekly High 1829.23
Previous Weekly Low 1790.43
Previous Monthly High 1830.39
Previous Monthly Low 1753.01
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1830.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1822.94
Daily Pivot Point S1 1820.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 1799.05
Daily Pivot Point S3 1787.79
Daily Pivot Point R1 1853.85
Daily Pivot Point R2 1865.11
Daily Pivot Point R3 1886.88

 

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 after US inflation data

EUR/USD holds above 1.0700 after US inflation data

EUR/USD stays in the lower half of its daily range but continues to trade above 1.0700 in the early American session on Friday. The data from the US showed that the annual Core PCE Price Index declined to 4.9% in April as expected, making it difficult for the dollar to gather strength.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades above 1.2600 as dollar struggles to find demand

GBP/USD trades above 1.2600 as dollar struggles to find demand

GBP/USD clings to daily gains above 1.2600 and remains on track to end the week in positive territory. The greenback struggles to attract investors after the data from the US showed that PCE inflation softened in April. 

GBP/USD News

Gold pulls away from daily highs, holds above $1,850

Gold pulls away from daily highs, holds above $1,850

Gold has lost its traction in the second half of the day on Friday and declined toward the $1,850 area. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield staged a modest rebound on the US PCE inflation data, not allowing XAU/USD to preserve its bullish momentum.

Gold News

Terra’s LUNA 2.0 support expands with Binance and Kraken welcoming the airdrop, here’s how you need to prepare

Terra’s LUNA 2.0 support expands with Binance and Kraken welcoming the airdrop, here’s how you need to prepare

Terra’s LUNA fork proposal has passed with 65.5% votes, Revival Plan 2 in action without algorithmic stablecoin UST. LUNA price could wipe out losses incurred by holders in the colossal crash of LUNC and UST. 

Read more

FXStreet Premium users exceed expectations

FXStreet Premium users exceed expectations

Tap into our 20 years Forex trading experience and get ahead of the markets. Maximize our actionable content, be part of our community, and chat with our experts. Join FXStreet Premium today!

BECOME PREMIUM

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures