Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drops sharply below $1,960 as USD Index extends recovery


  • Gold price has attempted a downside break of the consolidation formed above $1,960.00 amid a recovery in the USD Index.
  • The expectations of a temporary pause in the policy-tightening spell by the Fed have soared due to weak US Services PMI.
  • Gold price is consolidating in a range of $1,932-1,985 for the past three weeks.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has displayed a sharp drop to near $1,960.00 in the European session. The precious metal is trying to come out of the woods. A minor sell-off in the Gold price has been propelled by a recovery extension in the US Dollar Index (DXY).

S&P500 futures have carry-forwarded nominal gains added in Asia to the London session. The market mood is quite cheerful as investors are anticipating that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is going to consider a neutral interest rate policy stance thoroughly for June’s monetary policy.

The expectations of a temporary pause in the policy-tightening spell by the Fed have soared after the United States Services PMI, reported by the ISM agency, hardly managed to dodge contraction. The economic data was marginally above the 50.0 threshold. Subdued service sector and contracting factory activities are pushing the United States economy aggressively toward a recession.

The US Dollar Index has rebounded to near 104.25 despite the street is anticipating that divergence in Fed’s interest rate policy with other global central banks will drop as the former is likely to keep rates steady while others are preparing for a fresh interest rate hike. The yields offered on 10-year US government bonds have also rebounded marginally above 3.66%.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is consolidating in a range of $1,932-1,985 for the past three weeks on a four-hour. The precious metal is struggling in delivering a decisive move amid an absence of a potential trigger. Broadly, horizontal support is plotted from March 15 high at $1,937.39. The magical 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,975.47 is acting as a strong barrier for the Gold bulls.

An oscillation in the 40.00-60.00 territory by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) indicates a non-directional performance.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1958.95
Today Daily Change -4.65
Today Daily Change % -0.24
Today daily open 1963.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1974.4
Daily SMA50 1991.22
Daily SMA100 1940
Daily SMA200 1837.93
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1966.43
Previous Daily Low 1954.43
Previous Weekly High 1983.5
Previous Weekly Low 1932.12
Previous Monthly High 2079.76
Previous Monthly Low 1932.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1961.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1959.01
Daily Pivot Point S1 1956.54
Daily Pivot Point S2 1949.49
Daily Pivot Point S3 1944.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 1968.54
Daily Pivot Point R2 1973.49
Daily Pivot Point R3 1980.54

 

 

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