Gold witnessed aggressive selling during the early North American session and dived to one-and-half-week lows, around the $1,776 region in the last hour. The US dollar was back in demand on the last trading day of the week and has now reversed a major part of the previous day's dismal US GDP-led slide to one-month lows. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that weighed heavily on dollar-denominated commodities, including gold.

The USD held on to its strong intraday gains following the release of the softer than expected Core PCE Price Index. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge held steady near 30-year highs in September and came in at 3.6% YoY as against consensus estimates for a modest uptick to 3.7%. The data indicated that consumer cost pressures are getting entrenched and validated expectations the Fed would be forced to adopt a more aggressive policy response to contain stubbornly high inflation.

This, in turn, allowed the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond to hold steady above the 1.60% threshold, which further contributed to drive flows away from the non-yielding gold. Apart from this, the latest leg of a sudden fall over the past hour or so could further be attributed to some technical selling below 200-hour SMA. However, a softer risk tone – as depicted by a cautious mood around the equity markets – could extend some support to the safe-haven XAU/USD.

The continuous rise in inflationary pressures comes amid signs of a global economic slowdown and fueled worries about the risk of stagflation. This, in turn, tempered investors appetite for perceived riskier assets, which might hold bearish traders from placing aggressive bets around gold. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week as the focus now shifts to next week's FOMC meeting, where the US central bank is expected to begin tapering its bond purchases.

Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, repeated failures near the $1,810-12 resistance zone and the subsequent fall suggests that the recent positive move has run out of steam. Hence, some follow-through weakness towards testing the next relevant support, near the $1,762 region, remains a distinct possibility. The corrective pullback from multi-week tops could further get extended towards October monthly swing lows, around the $1,745 area.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery now seems to confront stiff resistance near the $1,790-92 region (100/200-day SMAs confluence) and remain capped near the $1,800 mark. A sustained strength beyond could allow bulls to make a fresh attempt to clear the $1,810-12 barrier and push gold prices towards the $1,832-34 heavy supply zone.

Levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1778.99
Today Daily Change -19.93
Today Daily Change % -1.11
Today daily open 1798.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1776.24
Daily SMA50 1780.96
Daily SMA100 1788.25
Daily SMA200 1792.79
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1810.47
Previous Daily Low 1792.43
Previous Weekly High 1813.82
Previous Weekly Low 1760.37
Previous Monthly High 1834.02
Previous Monthly Low 1721.71
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1803.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1799.32
Daily Pivot Point S1 1790.74
Daily Pivot Point S2 1782.57
Daily Pivot Point S3 1772.7
Daily Pivot Point R1 1808.78
Daily Pivot Point R2 1818.65
Daily Pivot Point R3 1826.82

 

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD holding above 0.6900 but not for long

AUD/USD holding above 0.6900 but not for long

The AUD/USD pair eased on Monday and trades a handful of pips above the 0.6900 mark. Investors remain cautious amid recession fears and a scarce macroeconomic calendar. Additional clues on economic growth and inflation are scheduled for later this week.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD up on Monday, but unable to recapture 1.0600

EUR/USD up on Monday, but unable to recapture 1.0600

Bulls are still losing the battle around the 1.0600, as EUR/USD pulled back after reaching a two-week high of 1.0614. Market players eye inflation-related figures and policymakers' words on monetary policy within the ECB Central Banking Forum.

EUR/USD News

Gold bears gearing up for a breakout

Gold bears gearing up for a breakout

XAUUSD is slowly gaining bearish traction, with sellers now aligned at lower levels. Gold advanced throughout the first half of the day, but trimmed gains and trades near a daily low of $1,820.63, as the dollar gathered momentum ahead of the US opening. 

Gold News

Terra’s LUNA price finally shows the buy signal you’ve been waiting for

Terra’s LUNA price finally shows the buy signal you’ve been waiting for

Terra’s LUNA price shows optimism to start the final week of June. The potential for a new bull run is beginning to materialize. LUNA price sees an uptick in social media commentary.
 

Read more

FXStreet Premium users exceed expectations

FXStreet Premium users exceed expectations

Tap into our 20 years Forex trading experience and get ahead of the markets. Maximize our actionable content, be part of our community, and chat with our experts. Join FXStreet Premium today!

BECOME PREMIUM

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures