Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD consolidates below two-week high at $1,937, Fed decision eyed


Share:
  • Gold price trades sideways around $1,930 as the Fed’s decision looms.
  • US Dollar (USD) holds ground above 105.00 on elevated US Treasury yields.
  • Fed is expected to maintain interest rates at the current 5.25%-5.50% range in September.

Gold price consolidates below a two-week high, trading around $1,930 during the early hours of the Asian session on Wednesday. The price of yellow metal is under pressure due to improved US Treasury yields ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision.

US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to hold steady around 105.10, supported by elevated US Treasury bond yields. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note is at 4.36% by the press time, marking its highest level in 16 years, which poses a challenge to Gold prices.

Fed is expected to keep rates at the current 5.25%-5.50% range in September but to keep them higher for a prolonged period following the recent data, which showed that inflation is resilient.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of another rate hike had been lowered in the November and December meetings.

While the Fed's decision is significant, market participants will closely focus on the 'dot plots' to assess the expected interest rate trajectory. In the most recent Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the Fed's median estimates indicate that rates could reach a peak of 5.6%.

According to a report from Reuters, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen commented on Tuesday that, given the economy was operating at full employment, it was necessary for US growth to moderate to a rate more aligned with its potential growth rate in order to bring inflation back to target levels.

Yellen also said "I think the Chinese would most likely use the policy space they have to try to avoid a slowdown with major proportions. There may be spillovers from China’s economic difficulties to the US."

Traders will closely monitor the US Federal Reserve's meeting decision on Wednesday later in the North American session.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1930.88
Today Daily Change -0.50
Today Daily Change % -0.03
Today daily open 1931.38
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1924.58
Daily SMA50 1931.99
Daily SMA100 1945.57
Daily SMA200 1923.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1937.44
Previous Daily Low 1929.79
Previous Weekly High 1930.77
Previous Weekly Low 1901.07
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1932.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1934.52
Daily Pivot Point S1 1928.3
Daily Pivot Point S2 1925.22
Daily Pivot Point S3 1920.65
Daily Pivot Point R1 1935.95
Daily Pivot Point R2 1940.52
Daily Pivot Point R3 1943.6

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD loses traction, retreats below 1.0600

EUR/USD loses traction, retreats below 1.0600

EUR/USD lost its recovery momentum and declined below 1.0600 in the American session on Friday, erasing a portion of its daily gains in the process. Nevertheless, the risk-positive market atmosphere after PCE inflation data helps the pair limit its losses.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD turns negative on the day below 1.2200

GBP/USD turns negative on the day below 1.2200

GBP/USD reversed its direction and slumped below 1.2200 in the American session on Friday after rising above 1.2270 earlier in the day. Position readjustments and profit-taking on the last trading day of the quarter seems to be weighing on Pound Sterling.

GBP/USD News

Gold reverses direction, drops below $1,860

Gold reverses direction, drops below $1,860

Following a steady rebound toward $1,880 on Friday, Gold price made a sharp U-turn and turned negative on the day near $1,860. Although the 10-year US T-bond yield is down more than 1%, XAU/USD struggles to find demand on the last day of Q3.

Gold News

DOT confirms trend reversal, eyes retest of $5 after reclaiming key hurdle

DOT confirms trend reversal, eyes retest of $5 after reclaiming key hurdle

Polkadot price seems to be ending its downtrend after shedding 92.91% in the last two years from its all-time high of $55.09. In the last three days, DOT has inflated by 3.3%, breaching a declining trendline and confirming the potential start of an uptrend.

Read more

Earnings beat triggers Nike to spike 9%

Earnings beat triggers Nike to spike 9%

Nike (NKE) stock has surged over 9% in Friday’s premarket, climbing above $98 per share, following late Thursday’s fiscal first-quarter earnings release. Nike beat pessimistic earnings expectations by more than 23% and hiked its dividend by 9%.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures