Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD closes above the 20- and 200-day SMAs

XAU/USD found support at the convergence of the 20- and 200-day SMAs at $1,915.
Jobless Claims from the US for the first week of September came in lower than expected.
Tightening expectations for the Fed and US yields remain high.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The Gold Spot price XAU/USD recovered some ground after finding support at the $1,915 area, jumping towards $1,920. However, the upside is limited as the expectations of one last Federal Reserve (Fed) hike grow in the markets.

During the American session, it was reported that Initial Jobless Claims for the first week of September came in lower than expected. The figure came in at 216,000, lower than the expected figure of 234,000 and declining from the previous 228,000.

The US Treasury yields, often seen as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding metals, declined on Thursday and allowed the yellow metal to gather momentum. That being said, they remain high as markets place bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed) hiking again in this tightening cycle in November or December, as the US is showing evidence of its strong economic activity despite the Fed's aggressive moves. The focus shifts to next week's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the US for markets to continue modelling their expectations.

XAU/USD Levels to watch

Based on the daily chart, XAU/USD maintains a neutral to bearish technical perspective, suggesting that the bears are gradually gain momentum but are not yet in total control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) exhibits a positive slope below its midline, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) lays out decreasing green bars.

Support levels: $1,915 (Convergence of 20- and 200-day SMA), $1,900, $1,880.

Resistance levels: $1,930, $1,950, $1,970.

XAU/USD Daily Chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1919.72
Today Daily Change	2.96
Today Daily Change %	0.15
Today daily open	1916.76

Trends
Daily SMA20	1915.35
Daily SMA50	1932
Daily SMA100	1952.15
Daily SMA200	1917.55

Levels
Previous Daily High	1929.21
Previous Daily Low	1915.33
Previous Weekly High	1953.01
Previous Weekly Low	1912.84
Previous Monthly High	1966.08
Previous Monthly Low	1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1920.63
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1923.91
Daily Pivot Point S1	1911.66
Daily Pivot Point S2	1906.55
Daily Pivot Point S3	1897.78
Daily Pivot Point R1	1925.54
Daily Pivot Point R2	1934.31
Daily Pivot Point R3	1939.42

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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