Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD attempts recovery below $1,960 as USD Index turns sideways ahead of Fed speech

Gold price has shown a recovery move after gauging support below $1,960.00 as the USD index is losing upside momentum.
Investors are expecting neutral policy guidance from Fed’s Powell.
Gold price has witnessed an immense sell-off after a breakdown of the Double Top chart pattern, which indicates a bearish reversal.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

Gold price (XAU/USD) has shown a recovery move after gauging support below $1,960.00 in the early European session. Consideration of a reversal by the precious metal would be too early as optimism over US debt-ceiling issues still persists. Apart from that, the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell is also improving the appeal for the US Dollar.

S&P500 futures have carry-forwarded gains to Europe added in Asia, portraying a higher risk-appetite of market participants. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is displaying a sideways performance in a narrow range below 103.60. The USD index has shifted to the sidelines ahead of the Fed Powell.

The street is eyeing guidance on interest rates for June monetary policy meeting. Investors are expecting neutral policy guidance as United States inflation is consistently declining, labor market conditions have eased some heat, and small-scale firms are suffering with tight working capital due to stiff credit conditions by the US regional banks.

Investors are optimistic that the US debt-ceiling will get raised even if the bipartisan between the White House and Republican leaders fails as US President Joe Biden would exercise his 14th Amendment right.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has witnessed an immense sell-off after a breakdown of the Double Top chart pattern formed on a four-hour scale, which indicates a bearish reversal. The Double Top pattern activated after the Gold price exploded the crucial support plotted from April 19 low at $1,969.26. Potential support is placed from March 15 high at $1,937.39.

The 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,969.25 has restricted the upside for the Gold bulls.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, signaling sheer weakness ahead.

Gold four-hour chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1962.76
Today Daily Change	5.15
Today Daily Change %	0.26
Today daily open	1957.61

Trends
Daily SMA20	2004.89
Daily SMA50	1984.74
Daily SMA100	1927.28
Daily SMA200	1824.92

Levels
Previous Daily High	1986.04
Previous Daily Low	1952.01
Previous Weekly High	2048.27
Previous Weekly Low	2000.95
Previous Monthly High	2048.75
Previous Monthly Low	1949.83
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1965.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1973.04
Daily Pivot Point S1	1944.4
Daily Pivot Point S2	1931.19
Daily Pivot Point S3	1910.37
Daily Pivot Point R1	1978.43
Daily Pivot Point R2	1999.25
Daily Pivot Point R3	2012.46

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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