|

Gold Price Forecast: $1,792 remains a tough nut to crack for XAU/USD bulls – Confluence Detector

The mixed US employment report fails to deter the Fed’s faster tapering and tightening expectations, which could likely temper gold’s solid recovery from monthly troughs. Although the downside appears cushioned in the bright metal amid looming uncertainty over the Omicron covid variant and upcoming US Inflation data. The renewed upside in gold could pick up pace should the Treasury yields and the US dollar fade their rebound, in the face of a data-light docket.

Read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bears to test bulls’ commitments at critical resistance

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price is consolidating Friday’s rebound below the SMA10 one-day at $1,785.

Gold bulls await a sustained break above the latter to test a strong upside barrier in $1,787, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, SMA50 four-hour and Friday’s high.

Critical resistance at $1,792 is the level to beat for gold bulls. That price zone is the intersection of the SMAs50, 100 and 200 one-day.

The pivot point one-day R2 at $1,800 will challenge the further upside.  

On the flip side, the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and one-month at $1,779 will be crucial for buyers to defend.

A sharp sell-off below the latter cannot be ruled out, with eyes on $1,772, the meeting point of Fibonacci 61.8% one-day and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

Further south, a test of the November lows of $1,759 will be in the offing.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).