|

Gold Price Forecast: $1,792 remains a tough nut to crack for XAU/USD bulls – Confluence Detector

The mixed US employment report fails to deter the Fed’s faster tapering and tightening expectations, which could likely temper gold’s solid recovery from monthly troughs. Although the downside appears cushioned in the bright metal amid looming uncertainty over the Omicron covid variant and upcoming US Inflation data. The renewed upside in gold could pick up pace should the Treasury yields and the US dollar fade their rebound, in the face of a data-light docket.

Read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bears to test bulls’ commitments at critical resistance

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that the gold price is consolidating Friday’s rebound below the SMA10 one-day at $1,785.

Gold bulls await a sustained break above the latter to test a strong upside barrier in $1,787, which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, SMA50 four-hour and Friday’s high.

Critical resistance at $1,792 is the level to beat for gold bulls. That price zone is the intersection of the SMAs50, 100 and 200 one-day.

The pivot point one-day R2 at $1,800 will challenge the further upside.  

On the flip side, the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and one-month at $1,779 will be crucial for buyers to defend.

A sharp sell-off below the latter cannot be ruled out, with eyes on $1,772, the meeting point of Fibonacci 61.8% one-day and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

Further south, a test of the November lows of $1,759 will be in the offing.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD struggles near 0.7150 as Fed hike bets and Middle East risks underpin USD

AUD/USD kicks off the new week on a weak note and hovers near Friday's low, around mid-0.7100s, as the US Dollar holds up on rising Fed rate-hike bets, bolstered by the US CPI. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions and clashes in the Strait of Hormuz underpin the safe-haven USD. However, hawkish RBA expectations could help limit deeper losses for the Aussie.

USD/JPY holds steady near mid-153.00s as traders await Fed/BoJ rate decisions

USD/JPY consolidates near a seven-month low touched last Tuesday as traders move to the sidelines ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's normalization path supports the Japanese Yen, while rising Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical risks underpin the US Dollar, leading to the pair's subdued price action at the start of the new week.

Gold consolidates above $4,300 as traders await Fed rate decision this week

Gold struggles to capitalize on Friday's modest bounce from sub-$4,300 levels and kicks off the new week on a subdued note as traders move to the sidelines ahead of a slew of central bank events. Meanwhile, the latest US inflation figures reaffirmed September Fed rate-hike bets and cap the non-yielding bullion. Moreover, escalating US-Iran tensions act as a tailwind for the safe-haven US Dollar, keeping XAU/USD bulls on the back foot.

Week ahead: Fed, BoJ and BoE decide amid inflation dilemma
A crucial central bank week looms for markets as both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are under pressure from all sides, with their credibility at stake. The Bank of England looks set to have an easier ride, at least for now, while inflation releases will be watched too as war continues to rage in the Middle East.
CFTC Report: Japanese Yen reversal leads a broader positioning reset
The week in one sentence: Yen positioning swung back into net longs in the week to September 8, leading to a 103.0K-contract improvement. Canadian Dollar shorts also fell sharply, while Oil buying accompanied another price rise. Euro, Sterling and Swiss Franc positioning weakened despite firmer currencies, leaving those moves unconfirmed by speculative flows.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.