|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD still eyes $1849 amid covid, election jitters – Confluence Detector

Growing fears over the second-wave of the coronavirus globally combined with pre-US election jitters will continue to underpin the haven demand for the US dollar, keeping the bearish bias intact in gold (XAU/USD) going forward.

Gold is set to test the September low of $1849, having breached the critical 100-DMA earlier this week. US fiscal stimulus package remains elusive and offsets the optimism over the record US Q3 GDP rebound, as all eyes shift towards next week’s Presidential election.

See Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD has three ways go in response to the 2020 Presidential Elections

How is gold positioned on the charts?

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the yellow metal has managed to recapture powerful resistance at $1872, which is the confluence of the SMA5 four-hour and Fibonacci 161.8%  one-week.

The next relevant upside barrier awaits at $1883, where the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month lies.

Further up, the pivot point one-week S1 is placed at $1887, which could challenge the recovery towards the previous week low of $1895.

Alternatively, strong support is aligned at $1860, the convergence of the previous day low and Bollinger Band four-hour Lower.

A firm break below the latter could intensify the downside pressure, opening floors for a test of $1850/49 levels. At the point, the pivot point one-week S3 coincides with the September month low.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.