|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD stays pressured below $1,850 amid risk-on mood

  • Gold prices begin the week on the back foot with an upside cap of $1,841.65.
  • One more week for Brexit talks, the US nearness to the stimulus and vaccination favor the risks.
  • S&P 500 Futures gain half a percent, stocks in Australia, New Zealand are mildly bid.
  • A light calendar keeps gold traders at the mercy of risk news.

Gold drops to $1,837.50, down 0.12% intraday, during Monday’s Asian trading. In doing so, the yellow metal keeps the downside momentum portrayed at the week’s start while following the risk-positive headlines. However, bears are also cautious amid the coronavirus (COVID-19) woes and a lack of clarity over the key issues.

Following the US Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) official authorization to the Pfizer-BioNTech covid vaccine for emergency use, the New York Times came out with the news suggesting that the White House staff members will be among the first to be vaccinated. The news becomes important as local lockdown in the UK and the US are regaining momentum while Germany extended national activity restrictions amid the latest increase in virus infection and death toll.

Also on the risk-positive side are Brexit updates indicating that the European Commission (EC) President Ursula von der Leyen and UK PM Boris Johnson agreed to stretch Brexit talks for one more week. The policymakers conveyed during the last week that they’re “far apart” on Brexit.

Additionally, updates from US Deputy Chief of Staff Drew Hammill and CNN’s Manu Raju also indicate that the American Congress members are actively working to provide the much-awaited COVID-19 stimulus ahead of this Friday’s deadline.

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures mark 0.50% gains while stocks in Pacific are up around 20% by press time.

Looking forward, a lack of major data/events will direct gold traders towards the risk events for fresh impulse.

Technical analysis

A downside break of 10-day SMA, currently near $1,842, directs gold prices towards the late-November highs around $1,818/17 before challenging the $1,800 threshold and the previous month’s low of $1,764.60.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1837.11
Today Daily Change-2.23
Today Daily Change %-0.12%
Today daily open1839.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA201838.62
Daily SMA501874.97
Daily SMA1001910.26
Daily SMA2001809.34
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1847.78
Previous Daily Low1824.16
Previous Weekly High1875.34
Previous Weekly Low1822.22
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1838.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1833.18
Daily Pivot Point S11826.41
Daily Pivot Point S21813.47
Daily Pivot Point S31802.79
Daily Pivot Point R11850.03
Daily Pivot Point R21860.71
Daily Pivot Point R31873.65

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold sticks to modest recovery gains above $4,000 as Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold stages a modest recovery from the vicinity of a three-month low, trading above the $4,000 psychological mark through Monday’s Asian session amid a softer US Dollar. US President Donald Trump has ruled out immediate military action against Iran, triggering a modest pullback in crude oil prices. Furthermore, Federal Reserve officials have signaled no urgency to raise interest rates immediately.

Cardano's derivatives and on-chain data confirm bears in control

Cardano extends losses, trading below $0.202 after three consecutive weeks of more than 20% declines since early October. Selling pressure continues to build as weakening derivatives metrics, bearish on-chain signals and a deteriorating technical outlook point to further downside risks. Derivatives data shows a bearish bias for Cardano.

CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.