|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD stays offered for second day, eyes three-week-old support line

  • Gold extends the previous day’s losses below 100-bar EMA.
  • Bearish MACD, downbeat RSI conditions favor the sellers.
  • A falling trend line from August 11 adds to the upside filter.

Gold prices remain on the back foot despite the latest pullback from an intraday low of $1,936.22 to $1,940 before Thursday’s European session. The yellow metal’s weakness could be traced from its inability to cross 100-bar EMA and bearish MACD.

The same weakness drags the bullion’s quote towards an ascending trend line from August 12, near $1,924, while the 200-bar EMA level of $1,932.69 may offer an intermediate halt during the fall.

In a case where the metal slips below $1,932, odds of its further weakness towards $1,900 can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, any upside break beyond the 100-bar EMA level of 1,953.64 may fade around $1,977 whereas a short-term resistance line close to $1,988 and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the early-August fall around $1,993 can question the bulls afterward.

It should also be noted that the bull's dominance past-$1,993 will be probed by the $2,000 threshold before recalling the record high near $2,075.

Gold four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1938.68
Today Daily Change-3.48
Today Daily Change %-0.18%
Today daily open1942.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA201962.01
Daily SMA501896.66
Daily SMA1001808.04
Daily SMA2001686.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1973.34
Previous Daily Low1932.73
Previous Weekly High1976.79
Previous Weekly Low1902.76
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1948.24
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1957.83
Daily Pivot Point S11925.48
Daily Pivot Point S21908.8
Daily Pivot Point S31884.87
Daily Pivot Point R11966.09
Daily Pivot Point R21990.02
Daily Pivot Point R32006.7

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets support near 0.7000

AUD/USD fades Monday’s optimism and trades with decent losses in the low 0.7000s ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Indeed, spot fails to capitalise on the offered stance of the Greenback and the relatively easing tensions in the Middle East on Tuesday. In the meantime, the AUD is expected to follow the release of housing data in Oz and Chinese inflation figures, all due on Wednesday.

Japanese Yen steadies near recent lows as ceasefire, Japan intervention threats offset

USD/JPY trades around 160.15 on Tuesday, remaining close to its highest level since April 30 despite a broadly neutral intraday performance. The pair retains an underlying bullish bias, supported by expectations that US monetary policy will remain restrictive, although upside potential is being capped by the risk of intervention from Japanese authorities.

Gold dives to fresh two-month lows, aims to challenge $4,000

The selling pressure now gathers extra pace and sends Gold to new three-month lows near $4,230 per troy punce on Tuesday. That said, the yellow metal resumes its decline on the back of a recovery attempt in the US Dollar and the likelihood of a tighter-for-longer Fed this year.

Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC extends gains, targets $500 as retail demand and momentum strengthen
Zcash (ZEC) gains momentum and trades near $470 at the time of writing on Tuesday, shrugging off a broader risk-off mood primarily driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and macroeconomic uncertainty. Retail activity remains relatively elevated, as reflected in the derivatives market.
Hotter US inflation numbers could further bolster Fed hike bets

Middle East tensions keep inflation risks elevated. Fed hike fully priced in by year end amid strong NFP report. US CPI data on Wednesday (12:30 GMT) to enter the spotlight. Further acceleration in inflation could drive the Dollar higher.

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.