|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD sellers flirt with $1,800, eye weekly support line

  • Gold bounces off intraday low, remains weak for the third day.
  • Two-week-old resistance line guards immediate upside, 100-HMA offers adjacent support.

Gold struggles to keep $1,800, recently bouncing off 100-HMA, during the early Thursday. Even so, the yellow metal declines for the third consecutive day while following a downward sloping trend line from February 10.

Given the absence of oversold RSI conditions on the hourly (1H) chart, coupled with the sustained trading below the stated resistance line, gold sellers are likely to keep the reins.

As a result, the quote’s downside past-100-HMA level of $1,796 becomes imminent. However, an ascending support line from last Friday, at $1,786 now, can challenge the bullion bears afterward.

On the flip side, a 50-HMA level of $1,805 can offer immediate resistance ahead of the short-term falling trend line, currently around $1,807.

If at all, the gold buyers manage to cross $1,807, they need to refresh the weekly high above $1,816 to direct the bulls to the February 10 high of $1,855.

To sum, gold lacks upside momentum below the key resistance line and hence the latest pullback may keep sellers hopeful.

Gold hourly chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1798.44
Today Daily Change-4.18
Today Daily Change %-0.23%
Today daily open1802.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA201816.68
Daily SMA501850.56
Daily SMA1001861.45
Daily SMA2001860.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1813.88
Previous Daily Low1783.62
Previous Weekly High1827.11
Previous Weekly Low1760.72
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1795.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1802.32
Daily Pivot Point S11786.2
Daily Pivot Point S21769.78
Daily Pivot Point S31755.94
Daily Pivot Point R11816.46
Daily Pivot Point R21830.3
Daily Pivot Point R31846.72

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD gains traction near  0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD finds fresh buyers and retakes 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold retakes $4,300 amid modest USD pullback but hawkish Fed caps upside

Gold climbs back above the $4,300 mark heading into the European session on Thursday, though it remains within striking distance of a six-week low touched the previous day. The US Dollar eases after touching a fresh high since late July and offers some support to the commodity. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with escalating Middle East tensions, should continue to underpin the safe-haven and cap the non-yielding bullion.

XRP and XLM rebound amid mixed signals
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) extend their recovery at the time of writing on Thursday after finding support at key technical levels. However, mixed derivatives and on-chain data for both altcoins suggest that traders remain cautious and have yet to show strong conviction in a sustained rebound. Derivatives data shows a mixed and cautious outlook among traders.
BoE expected to hold interest rate at 3.75%
The Bank of England (BoE) is set to reveal its latest monetary policy decision on Thursday, coinciding with its sixth rate-setting meeting of 2026. Market analysts expect the central bank to keep its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.75%, which should be its sixth hold in a row following December’s 25-bps rate cut.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.