|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD remains confined in a range around $1865-70 region

  • Gold was seen consolidating its recent gains to two-week tops.
  • The set-up supports prospects for a further appreciating move.
  • Bulls might wait for a move beyond the $1880 congestions zone.

Gold remained confined in a narrow trading band through the mid-European session and consolidated this week's solid rebound from the vicinity of the $1800 mark.

Currently hovering around the $1872 region, any subsequent positive move is likely to confront stiff resistance near the $1880 congestion zone. The mentioned barrier coincides with the 50% Fibonacci level of the $1959-$1803 recent leg down and should act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on hourly charts maintained their bullish bias and have just started moving into the positive territory on the daily chart. The set-up supports prospects for additional gains amid sustained US dollar selling, which tends to benefit the dollar-denominated commodity.

That said, bulls might still wait for a sustained move beyond the $1880 hurdle before placing fresh bets and positioning for any further appreciating move. The XAU/USD might then accelerate the positive momentum and aim back to reclaim the $1900 mark, representing the 61.8% Fibo. level resistance.

On the flip side, the 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $1863-62 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside. Any further decline is likely to attract some dip-buying around the $1855 region. This, in turn, should help limit the downside near the 23.6% Fibo. level, around the $1840 area.

XAU/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1867.3
Today Daily Change-2.59
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1869.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA201877.37
Daily SMA501860.13
Daily SMA1001884.15
Daily SMA2001846.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1871.02
Previous Daily Low1832.48
Previous Weekly High1863.83
Previous Weekly Low1816.96
Previous Monthly High1906.87
Previous Monthly Low1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1856.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1847.2
Daily Pivot Point S11844.57
Daily Pivot Point S21819.26
Daily Pivot Point S31806.03
Daily Pivot Point R11883.11
Daily Pivot Point R21896.34
Daily Pivot Point R31921.65

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold moves away from one-week low, climbs above $4,450 as USD edges lower ahead of CPI

Gold builds on its modest intraday recovery from the $4,300 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, touched earlier this Friday, and climbs above $4,350 heading into the European session. The upside potential, however, seems limited as traders opt to wait for the release of US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Cardano approaches critical support as correction risks grow
Cardano (ADA) recovers slightly, trading at $0.206 at the time of writing on Friday, inches above the critical support zone after losing more than 6% so far this week. Weakening derivatives data and fading bullish momentum suggest a bearish near-term outlook, with a decisive close below the support zone potentially triggering a deeper correction for ADA.
US core CPI data set to ease in August as markets reprice Fed September rate decision

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the August Consumer Price Index data on Friday. The report is expected to show a small decline in annual core inflation. Any divergence from analysts’ estimates could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact the US Dollar’s valuation.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.