- Gold managed to attract some dip-buying on Monday and refreshed daily tops in the last hour.
- The technical set-up still favours bearish traders and supports prospects for a further decline.
- Attempted move up might confront stiff resistance and remain capped near the $1918-19 zone.
Gold reversed an early dip to the $1891 region, or seven-day lows and refreshed daily tops during the mid-European session, albeit lacked any strong follow-through.
The goodish intraday rebound back above the $1900 mark stalled near 200-hour SMA. The mentioned barrier also coincides with a one-month-old ascending trend-line support breakpoint, which should now act as a key pivotal point for intraday traders.
Meanwhile, technical indicators on the 1-hourly chart have again started moving into the positive territory and support prospects for a further move up. However, oscillators on 4-hourly/daily charts maintained their bearish bias and favour bears.
Hence, any subsequent positive move beyond the $1905-06 region (support-turned-resistance) will be seen as an opportunity to initiate fresh bearish positions. This, in turn, should cap the upside for the XAU/USD near the $1918-19 supply zone.
That said, some follow-through buying has the potential to push the precious metal back towards a strong horizontal resistance, around the $1931-33 region. Only a sustained move beyond will negate the near-term bearish bias and pave the way for additional gains.
On the flip side, weakness below the $1890 area, leading to a subsequent breakthrough the 100-day SMA, around the $1883 region, should accelerate the fall towards September monthly swing lows support, around the $1848-49 zone.
XAU/USD 1-hourly chart
Technical levels to watch
|Today last price||1901.28|
|Today Daily Change||0.38|
|Today Daily Change %||0.02|
|Today daily open||1900.9|
|Previous Daily High||1914.3|
|Previous Daily Low||1894.48|
|Previous Weekly High||1931.54|
|Previous Weekly Low||1894.48|
|Previous Monthly High||1992.42|
|Previous Monthly Low||1848.82|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||1902.05|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||1906.73|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||1892.15|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||1883.41|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||1872.33|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||1911.97|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||1923.05|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||1931.79|
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