Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD holds steady below two-week tops, downside seems limited


  • Gold edged lower following an early uptick to near two-week tops on Thursday.
  • The risk-on mood prompted some profit-taking around the safe-haven XAU/USD.
  • Retreating US bond yields, weaker USD might help limit losses for the commodity.

Gold witnessed a modest pullback from two-week tops and was seen trading with a mild negative bias, around the $1868 region during the early European session.

The prevalent upbeat market mood – as depicted by the ongoing rally in the global equity markets – seemed to be the only factor that prompted some profit-taking around the safe-haven XAU/USD. The market has been pricing in the prospects for more aggressive government spending under Joe Biden's presidency.

In fact, Biden pitched a plan to pump $1.9 trillion into the struggling US economy during his first hours as the new US President. This comes on the back of the optimism over the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, which fueled expectations of a strong economic recovery and continued boosting investors' confidence.

The precious metal, for now, seems to have stalled this week's solid rebound from the vicinity of the $1800 mark, or multi-week lows touched on Monday. That said, a weaker tone surrounding the US dollar might extend some support and help limit any meaningful downfall for the dollar-denominated commodity.

Bulls might further take cues from the ongoing pullback in the US Treasury bond yields, which tends to drive flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before confirming that the recent positive move might have already run out of the steam.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, the usual Initial Weekly Jobless Claims and housing market data. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, might produce some short-term trading opportunities around the XAU/USD.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1867.62
Today Daily Change -2.27
Today Daily Change % -0.12
Today daily open 1869.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1877.37
Daily SMA50 1860.13
Daily SMA100 1884.15
Daily SMA200 1846.09
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1871.02
Previous Daily Low 1832.48
Previous Weekly High 1863.83
Previous Weekly Low 1816.96
Previous Monthly High 1906.87
Previous Monthly Low 1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1856.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1847.2
Daily Pivot Point S1 1844.57
Daily Pivot Point S2 1819.26
Daily Pivot Point S3 1806.03
Daily Pivot Point R1 1883.11
Daily Pivot Point R2 1896.34
Daily Pivot Point R3 1921.65

 

 

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