|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD drops below $1,780 area as US T-bond yields rebound

  • Gold lost its traction after climbing toward $1,800 on Friday.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up nearly 2%.
  • Latest PMI data from US underlined strong price pressures. 

After rising to a daily high of $1,795 earlier in the day, the XAU/USD pair made a sharp U-tun and was last seen losing 0.3% on a daily basis at $1,778.

US T-bond yields turn north after PMI data

A decisive rebound witnessed in the US Treasury bond yields seems to be weighing on gold during the American trading hours. Currently, the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield is up nearly 2% at 1.567%.

The data published by the IHS Markit revealed on Friday that the economic activity in the US private sector expanded at a record-high pace in April with the Composite rising to 62.2 from 59.7 in March. However, the underlying details of the publication revealed that producers were passing input price increases to clients at a growing proportion, reviving concerns over inflation.

Other data from the US showed that New Home Sales in March surged by 20.7%, compared to analysts' expectation for an increase of 12.8%.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index stays deep in the negative territory around 91.00 after these data, helping XAU/USD limit its losses for the time being.

Technical levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1781.61
Today Daily Change-2.51
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1784.12
 
Trends
Daily SMA201744.16
Daily SMA501748.33
Daily SMA1001804.1
Daily SMA2001857.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1797.93
Previous Daily Low1777.48
Previous Weekly High1783.85
Previous Weekly Low1723.8
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1785.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1790.12
Daily Pivot Point S11775.09
Daily Pivot Point S21766.06
Daily Pivot Point S31754.64
Daily Pivot Point R11795.54
Daily Pivot Point R21806.96
Daily Pivot Point R31815.99

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD retreats from weekly high vs firmer USD as focus shifts to BoE, US data

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's strong move up to the weekly high and drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around mid-1.3300s, down over 0.10% for the day, and, for now, seem to have stalled the recovery move from a nearly four-week low, touched on Tuesday.

EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.1450 ahead of German/ EU GDP

EUR/USD trades with mild losses around 1.1450 in the early European hours on Thursday. The US Dollar recovers ground on renewed Mideast hostilities, despite a cautious Fed hold. Traders now brace for preliminary readings of the second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from Germany, the Eurozone and the US. 


Gold extends intraday rejection slide from $4,100

Gold extends its intraday rejection slide from the $4,100 mark and moves further away from a one-week high, touched the previous day. The US Dollar regains positive traction following Wednesday's post-FOMC decline and is seen as a key factor weighing on the commodity. 

Mixed signals leave XRP and XLM at crossroads

Ripple and Stellar are trading at critical technical levels on Thursday. XRP has stabilized above the psychological $1.00 support, while XLM is testing support at $0.173. Traders should be cautious as mixed derivatives metrics keep the outlook uncertain for both altcoins. Derivatives data shows mixed sentiment among traders. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for XRP reads 1.02 on Thursday.

Fed review: Reversing course (?)
At face value, the FOMC's 9-3 split decision hold was exactly in line with the expectations we laid out in our Fed preview - a divided hold, 22 July. We also named the three dissenters - Hammack, Logan and Kashkari - as the most likely hawks to support rapid tightening.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.