|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD climbs to the highest level since Feb. 25, beyond $1,780

  • Gold gained strong follow-through traction for the second consecutive session on Friday.
  • The USD struggled to capitalize on its attempted recovery and benefitted the commodity.
  • Rebounding US bond yields, the risk-on mood did little to hinder the positive momentum.

Gold scaled higher through the mid-European session and shot to the highest level since February 25, around the $1,783-84 region in the last hour.

The precious metal built on the previous day's bullish breakout momentum through the $1,760-65 region and gained some follow-through traction for the second consecutive session on Friday. The US dollar struggled to preserve its modest intraday gains, instead witnessed met with some fresh supply at higher levels. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that benefitted the dollar-denominated commodity.

Despite the incoming strong US economic data, investors now seem convinced that the Fed will keep interest rates near zero levels for a longer period. Apart from this, a pullback in the US Treasury bond yields further undermined the USD and provided an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal. Bulls seemed unaffected by the prevalent risk-on environment, which tends to undermine the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Meanwhile, Friday's strong move up validated the overnight breakout through the double-bottom neckline resistance. Hence, the momentum could further be attributed to some technical buying and supports prospects for additional gains. The XAU/USD now seems all set to extend the momentum further towards reclaiming the $1,800 mark for the first time since late February, en-route 100-day SMA barrier near the $1,803-05 region.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the releases of Housing Starts, Building Permits and prelim Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics. Traders might further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment in order to grab some short-term opportunities around the XAU/USD on the last day of the week.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1782.62
Today Daily Change18.79
Today Daily Change %1.07
Today daily open1763.83
 
Trends
Daily SMA201733.19
Daily SMA501752.54
Daily SMA1001805.24
Daily SMA2001857.8
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1769.68
Previous Daily Low1734.4
Previous Weekly High1758.74
Previous Weekly Low1721.34
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1756.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1747.88
Daily Pivot Point S11742.26
Daily Pivot Point S21720.69
Daily Pivot Point S31706.98
Daily Pivot Point R11777.54
Daily Pivot Point R21791.25
Daily Pivot Point R31812.82

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, heads toward $4,550

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high at $4,550 earlier in the Asian session on Monday and eases toward $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the New Year break. The US Dollar bearish bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Ethereum Annual Price Forecast: ETH poised for growth in 2026 amid regulatory clarity and institutional adoption

Ethereum lost 12% of its value in 2025, declining from $3,336 at the beginning of the year to $2,930 as of the third week of December, a stark contrast from 2024's 48% gain. But that percentage doesn't do justice to the wild year ETH had in 2025.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.