|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD battles support, eyes $1,1913 – Confluence Detector

It seems impossible to keep XAU/USD down for too long – the precious metal has staged a comeback and trades above the $1,900 at the time of writing. The dip below that level was triggered by robust US data, especially signs of rising inflation. While the precious metal is often seen as a hedge against rising prices, the specter of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve makes the yieldless gold less attractive. 

As the debate continues, the charts are pointing to a clear range. 

Where next for gold from here? 

The Technical Confluences Detector is showing that XAU/USD has strong support at $1,903, which is the convergence of the Bollinger Band 4h-Middle, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, the BB 1h-Upper and more. 

The upper side of that range is $1,913, which is a juncture including the previous month's high, the BB 4h-Upper, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1. 

Further above, the upside target is $1,920, which is where the Pivot Point one-week R2 hits the price. 

Support awaits at $1,896, which is the confluence of the Fibonaccis 38.2% one week and the Simple Moving Average 50-4h. 

All in all, the path of least resistance is up – support lines are stronger than resistance ones.

XAU/USD resistance and support levels

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold treads water around $4,150

Gold now regains some composure and approaches the $4,150 mark per troy ounce late on Monday. The precious metal’s vacillating price action comes in response to the persistent advance in the US Dollar in combination with the resurgence of the upside momentum in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin rally slows while Ethereum and XRP extend recovery amid slowing ETF inflows

Bitcoin is narrowly consolidating while trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, on the other hand, show a positive outlook, with Ethereum edging higher above $2,700 while Ripple steadies above $1.52.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.