|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD battles support, eyes $1,1913 – Confluence Detector

It seems impossible to keep XAU/USD down for too long – the precious metal has staged a comeback and trades above the $1,900 at the time of writing. The dip below that level was triggered by robust US data, especially signs of rising inflation. While the precious metal is often seen as a hedge against rising prices, the specter of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve makes the yieldless gold less attractive. 

As the debate continues, the charts are pointing to a clear range. 

Where next for gold from here? 

The Technical Confluences Detector is showing that XAU/USD has strong support at $1,903, which is the convergence of the Bollinger Band 4h-Middle, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, the BB 1h-Upper and more. 

The upper side of that range is $1,913, which is a juncture including the previous month's high, the BB 4h-Upper, and the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1. 

Further above, the upside target is $1,920, which is where the Pivot Point one-week R2 hits the price. 

Support awaits at $1,896, which is the confluence of the Fibonaccis 38.2% one week and the Simple Moving Average 50-4h. 

All in all, the path of least resistance is up – support lines are stronger than resistance ones.

XAU/USD resistance and support levels

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.3200 ahead of US PCE

GBP/USD clings to minor recovery gains, but remains below 1.3200 in the European session on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the pair appear limited amid UK political instability and rising expectations of US interest rate hikes this year. Traders await the US May PCE inflation data on Thursday for a clear direction.

EUR/USD defends 1.1350 as eyes turn to US PCE inflation

EUR/USD trades better bid above 1.1350 in European trading on Thursday. A pause in the US Dollar rally is helping the pair stay afloat. Markets look to the key US Personal Consumption Expenditures report for fresh trading impetus.

Gold bounces off November 2025 lows as USD rally pauses ahead of US PCE

Gold rebounds from the vicinity of the lowest level since November 2025, set the previous day, and trades near the $4,000 psychological mark. A modest US Dollar downtick offers some support to the commodity amid some repositioning trade ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index.

Bitcoin tests $60,000 as whales sell off – Aave and Jupiter show resilience

The broader cryptocurrency market remains under intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin back at $60,000 for the third time this year. On-chain data shows selling pressure from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, while total liquidations hit nearly $1 billion in 24 hours.

Ripple and SBI Group partner to launch RLUSD in Japan

Ripple (XRP) remains under pressure, trading at $1.06 on Thursday after losing nearly 5% so far this week. Ripple and SBI Group partnered to launch RLUSD stablecoin in Japan following approval from the Japan Financial Services Agency on Thursday, but the move failed to lift sentiment.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.