Gold Price Analysis: Downside appears more compelling while below $1946 – Confluence Detector

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

The recovery in Gold (XAU/USD) from Friday’s sell-off lost legs, as sellers returned on Monday amid resurgent demand for the US dollar across the board. Stronger US unemployment rate and wage growth data continue to lend support to the dollar bulls. Meanwhile, the sell-off in GBP/USD due to rising Brexit concerns, add to the buoyant tone around the greenback.

Looking ahead, the dollar could likely hold its upbeat momentum amid light trading and tepid risk tone, which may keep the XAU sellers hopeful. Let’s take a look at how the yellow metal is positioned on the charts.

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The tool shows that gold faced rejection just below the critical barrier at $1946, which is the convergence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and SMA10 one-day.

Only a sustained break above the latter will save the day for the bulls, opening doors for a test of the next strong cap at $1950, where the previous day high, pivot point one-day R1 and SMA5 one-day coincide.

To the downside, immediate support is aligned at $1929, the confluence of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day and Bollinger Band 15-minutes Lower.

The next powerful cushion awaits at $1916, which could challenge the bears’ commitment. That level is the intersection of the previous day low and pivot point one-day S1.

Meanwhile, acceptance below $1913, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, will expose the $1900 mark.

Here is how it looks on the tool

About the Confluence Detector

With the TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) tool, you can easily locate areas where the price can find a support zone or resistance zone and make trading decisions. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points each time. If you are a medium- and long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels in which a medium / long-term trend can stop your travel and rest, where to undo positions or where to increase your position.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

EUR/USD makes a U-turn, focus on 1.1900

EUR/USD’s recovery picks up further pace, prompting the pair to retarget the key 1.1900 barrier amid further loss of momentum in the US Dollar on Wednesday. Moving forward, investors are expected to remain focused on upcoming labour market figures and the always relevant US CPI prints on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.