|

Gold Price Analysis: Defending $1731 support is critical for XAU/USD amid firmer dollar – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is on a steady decline so far this Monday, undermined by a broad-based US dollar recovery. Surging covid infections and vaccine delays in some of the major global economies dampen the investors’ sentiment and lift the haven demand for the greenback. Further, an upbeat take by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on the economy buoy the US dollar.

However, rising inflation expectations, in light of stronger US PPI data, could offer some support to gold, the hedge-against-inflation. Meanwhile, the dynamics in the yields will be closely watched ahead of the US CPI release due later this week.

Let’s take a look at how gold is positioned on the technical graphs.

Gold Price Chart: Key resistance and support levels

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that gold is eyeing key support at $1731, the confluence of the previous day low, Bollinger Band four-hour Lower and the pivot point one-day S1.

Further south, the convergence of the SMA10 one-day and Fibonacci 61.8% one-month at $1729 could be put at risk.

The previous week low at $1721 will be the last line of defense for the XAU bulls.

Alternatively, recapturing the $1742 hurdle is critical to reviving the upside momentum. That level is the intersection of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, SMA5 one-day and SMA10 one-hour.

The next hurdle is seen at $1745, which is the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week. A dense cluster of resistance around $1750 could likely limit the advances.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold consolidates near $4,000 as recovery remains fragile ahead of Fed decision

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates modest gains on Monday after last week’s sharp decline pushed the metal to $3,975, its lowest level since August. A pullback in Oil prices offers support as traders react to diplomatic efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East.

Cardano's derivatives and on-chain data confirm bears in control

Cardano extends losses, trading below $0.202 after three consecutive weeks of more than 20% declines since early October. Selling pressure continues to build as weakening derivatives metrics, bearish on-chain signals and a deteriorating technical outlook point to further downside risks. Derivatives data shows a bearish bias for Cardano.

Flight to safety meets a high earnings bar as central bank week begins

Treasuries rallied again, equities are struggling, and central banks and earnings are on the horizon. Last week, US Treasuries rallied for a second consecutive week. This pushed 10s and 30s to 5% and 5.33%, respectively, flattening the curve even as Brent crude rallied about 7% to within striking distance of March peaks at US$119.50, and tech stocks posted a second straight week of losses.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.