|

Gold Price Analysis: 21-SMA on 4H limits the XAU/USD recovery ahead of US data

  • XAU/USD spots symmetrical triangle breakdown on the 1H chart.
  • RSI point south, within the bearish zone, allowing more declines.
  • Downside more compelling amid a bunch of healthy resistance levels.

Gold (XAU/USD) has returned to the red zone, as the US dollar appears to have found its feet after Tuesday’s corrective decline.

The US dollar is attempting a rebound despite the 0.50% advance in the S&P 500 futures, which reflects the risk-on market mood.

Gold traders await the key US ADP jobs and ISM Services PMI data for fresh directives. In the meantime, the yellow metal could likely remain at the mercy of the dollar dynamics.

From a short-term technical perspective, the bearish 21-simple moving average (SMA) at $1736 on the four-hour chart is capping the recovery attempts, at the moment.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned lower, suggesting that the recovery momentum could be losing steam.

Therefore, the eight-month lows of $1707 is back on the sellers’ radars.

Gold Price Chart: Four-hour 

If the buyers manage to find acceptance above the 21-SMA barrier, the psychological $1750 level could be put to test.

Further up, the downward-sloping 50-SMA at $1771 would then challenge the bullish commitments.

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1732.72
Today Daily Change-0.44
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1733.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA201795.4
Daily SMA501839.57
Daily SMA1001854.61
Daily SMA2001860.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1738.56
Previous Daily Low1707.28
Previous Weekly High1816.07
Previous Weekly Low1717.24
Previous Monthly High1871.9
Previous Monthly Low1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1726.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1719.23
Daily Pivot Point S11714.11
Daily Pivot Point S21695.05
Daily Pivot Point S31682.83
Daily Pivot Point R11745.39
Daily Pivot Point R21757.61
Daily Pivot Point R31776.67

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds below 1.3400 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD peaked just above 1.3400 following the BoE's announcement. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helps maintain the pair afloat, although momentum is missing.

EUR/USD resumes advance following tepid US growth data

EUR/USD trimmed early losses and aims north in the American session on Thursday, helped by better-than-expected German and Eurozone GDP data and lower-than-anticipated US growth, according to the preliminary estimate of Q2 Gross Domestic Product. The economy expanded at an annual rate of 1.5% vs the 2.1% anticipated by market participants.

Gold stable below $4,100 as USD demand fades

Gold hovers around its daily open in the American session on Thursday, trimming early losses. The Greenback enjoyed some near-term demand following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall, but was unable to retain its gains. The preliminary estimate of the US Q2 GDP showed the economy grew n annual rate of 1.5%, missing market's expectations of 2.1%

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP builds recovery momentum as whales increase exposure
Ripple (XRP) rises toward the pivotal $1.10 resistance on Thursday, marking three consecutive days of gains. This neutral-to-slightly bullish outlook follows the Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
The FOMC: Rates left on hold; dollar falls as Warsh fails to vote for hike
The Fed kept interest rates on hold today, defying a 30% chance in the Fed Funds Futures market that rates would rise. The Committee voted 9-3 to keep rates on hold, with governors Kashkari, Hammack and Logan all voting to hike rates due to concerns about inflation. The immediate market reaction has been a sharp drop in the USD on a broad basis.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.