|

Gold Price Analysis: 21-SMA on 4H limits the XAU/USD recovery ahead of US data

  • XAU/USD spots symmetrical triangle breakdown on the 1H chart.
  • RSI point south, within the bearish zone, allowing more declines.
  • Downside more compelling amid a bunch of healthy resistance levels.

Gold (XAU/USD) has returned to the red zone, as the US dollar appears to have found its feet after Tuesday’s corrective decline.

The US dollar is attempting a rebound despite the 0.50% advance in the S&P 500 futures, which reflects the risk-on market mood.

Gold traders await the key US ADP jobs and ISM Services PMI data for fresh directives. In the meantime, the yellow metal could likely remain at the mercy of the dollar dynamics.

From a short-term technical perspective, the bearish 21-simple moving average (SMA) at $1736 on the four-hour chart is capping the recovery attempts, at the moment.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned lower, suggesting that the recovery momentum could be losing steam.

Therefore, the eight-month lows of $1707 is back on the sellers’ radars.

Gold Price Chart: Four-hour 

If the buyers manage to find acceptance above the 21-SMA barrier, the psychological $1750 level could be put to test.

Further up, the downward-sloping 50-SMA at $1771 would then challenge the bullish commitments.

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1732.72
Today Daily Change-0.44
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1733.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA201795.4
Daily SMA501839.57
Daily SMA1001854.61
Daily SMA2001860.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1738.56
Previous Daily Low1707.28
Previous Weekly High1816.07
Previous Weekly Low1717.24
Previous Monthly High1871.9
Previous Monthly Low1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1726.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1719.23
Daily Pivot Point S11714.11
Daily Pivot Point S21695.05
Daily Pivot Point S31682.83
Daily Pivot Point R11745.39
Daily Pivot Point R21757.61
Daily Pivot Point R31776.67

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid a softer USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold bounces toward $5,200 for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar weakness. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Ethereum jumps alongside a spike in open interest, realized price could limit upside

Ethereum has jumped above $2,100 on Wednesday, following a general recovery across the crypto market. The move was accompanied by a spike in Ethereum's open interest, which has increased to 13.43M ETH — its highest level since January 31. 

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.