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Gold fails to extend rebound, returns to $1280 area

  • Core PCE Price Index in the U.S. continues to edge lower.
  • US Dollar Index continues to float above the 98 mark.
  • 10-year US T-bond yield adds nearly 1% on the day.

The XAU/USD pair started the new week under bearish pressure and erased a large portion of last week's gains. Although the pair staged a modest rebound during the European trading hours and advanced above $1284, it failed to gather further strength and, once again, turned south. As of writing, the pair was trading near $1280, losing more than $6 on a daily basis.

The 10-year US T-bond yield gained traction on Monday and erased last Friday's losses by adding nearly 1% and pointed out to improved market sentiment, which makes it difficult for the precious metal to find demand as a safe-haven. 

Meanwhile, the greenback's pullback that started on Friday after the GDP data painted a mixed picture regarding the economic performance of the U.S. in the first quarter of the year lost its momentum on Monday, allowing the US Dollar Index to stay near the 98 handle and keeping the bearish pressure on the pair intact. At the moment, the index is clinging to modest gains at 98.05.

Today's data from the U.S: showed that the core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, fell to 1.6% in March to miss the market expectation of 1.7%. On a positive note, personal spending increased by 0.9% in the same period following February's reading of 0.1%.

Technical levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1280
Today Daily Change-6.10
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open1286.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA201286.42
Daily SMA501300.65
Daily SMA1001292.19
Daily SMA2001251.55
Levels
Previous Daily High1288.75
Previous Daily Low1275.64
Previous Weekly High1288.75
Previous Weekly Low1265.6
Previous Monthly High1327.8
Previous Monthly Low1280.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1283.74
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1280.65
Daily Pivot Point S11278.25
Daily Pivot Point S21270.39
Daily Pivot Point S31265.14
Daily Pivot Point R11291.35
Daily Pivot Point R21296.6
Daily Pivot Point R31304.46

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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