Gold consolidates recent upsurge to multi-year tops, comfortable above $1400 mark


  • Gold adds to the post-FOMC upsurge amid escalating geopolitical tensions.
  • A modest USD uptick/stability in equity markets prompts some profit-taking.
  • The downside remains limited ahead of Powell’s speech later this Tuesday.

Gold held on to its positive tone through the early European session, albeit has eased a bit from multi-year tops set earlier this Tuesday.

The precious metal extended its recent bullish momentum and continued gaining positive traction for the sixth consecutive session on Tuesday. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East benefitted traditional safe-haven assets and assisted the precious metal to build on last week's post-FOMC upsurge of over 4%.

It is worth mentioning that the Fed, in its latest monetary policy update last Wednesday, showed readiness to cut interest rates by the end of this year to support economic growth and combat subdued inflationary pressures, which was seen as one of the key factors driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.

The commodity rallied to an intraday high level of $1439.08 - the highest since May 2013, though witnessed some profit-taking at higher levels amid highly overbought conditions on the daily chart. Meanwhile, the US Dollar bearish pressure now seems to have receded, at least for the time being, and might further collaborate towards exerting some downward pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity.

Investors' focus now turns to the highly anticipated meeting between the US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping at the sidelines of G-20 summit later this week, where fresh trade-related developments might influence the broader market risk sentiment and provide some fresh directional impetus.

In the meantime, a scheduled speech by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday will be closely scrutinized for any hints about a possible rate cut move at July meeting. This coupled with the US economic releases - the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, Richmond Manufacturing Index and new home sales data, will be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities. 

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1429.7
Today Daily Change 10.09
Today Daily Change % 0.71
Today daily open 1419.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1336.79
Daily SMA50 1303.62
Daily SMA100 1305.11
Daily SMA200 1274.29
Levels
Previous Daily High 1421.14
Previous Daily Low 1400.1
Previous Weekly High 1411.35
Previous Weekly Low 1333
Previous Monthly High 1306.9
Previous Monthly Low 1266.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1413.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1408.14
Daily Pivot Point S1 1406.09
Daily Pivot Point S2 1392.57
Daily Pivot Point S3 1385.04
Daily Pivot Point R1 1427.14
Daily Pivot Point R2 1434.67
Daily Pivot Point R3 1448.19

 

 

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