|

Gold bears looking for a brak of the $1,300/oz level to 38.2% Fibo target down at $1,275/oz

  • Gold is headed for a test of the 23.6% Fibo retracement of the mid-August swing lows to recent swing highs.
  • Bears are testing below the ascending channel's support. 
  • Gold is trading at $1,314/oz, down from the day's highs of $1,327/oz having printed a daily low of $1,313.11oz. 

Gold prices have been steadily declining since last week's highs of $1,343/oz and has made a fresh reversal low today following the unexpected uptick in US GDP Q4. The advanced read on Q4 US GDP came in stronger than expected at 2.6% saar vs the market's expectations of 2.2%, vs Q3 3.4%. The data superseded the risk-off mood on the news of an abrupt end to the U.S.-North Korea denuclearization talks. 

"News that Trump walked out of his meeting with Kim Jong Un because the two sides couldn’t reach an agreement over North Korea’s nuclear disarmament dashed hopes for an easing in geopolitical tensions," analysts at ANZ explained.

"After the meeting Trump said Kim wanted US sanctions lifted “in their entirety” in exchange for partial denuclearisation. However, North Korean foreign minister Ri Yong-Ho later disputed this claim saying they were only after a partial removal of sanctions and that they offered a realistic proposal. The summit’s abrupt end saw global equities slip. There’s been no indication from the US of whether it will consider another summit."

Gold levels

The price of gold is at a critical juncture, albeit oversold on the hourly charts and trading above its ATR of 11.01. Bears are targetting the 23.6% Fibo down at 1302 while daily stochastics lean bearish and near-term stochastics offer some wiggle room before sellers will likely come up for a breath of air. Bears will look to guard the trend line support area around 1318/20 for prospects of a break of the 1300 handle and onto the 38.2% fibo located at 1275, with the confluence of the late Jan support area. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.