GDX lower low sequence supports more downside [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

The short-term Elliott wave view in GDX suggests that the cycle from the 5 May 2023 peak is showing a 5 swings lower low sequence in higher time frame charts. Supporting more downside in the instrument. The decline from that peak is unfolding as an Elliott wave zigzag correction where wave (A) ended at $30.11 low. Wave (B) bounce unfolded as a lesser degree flat correction where wave A ended at $32.30 high. Wave B ended at $28.76 low, and wave C ended at $32.92 high thus completing wave (B).

Down from wave (B) high the decline is unfolding as an impulse sequence favoring more weakness. Whereas wave ((i)) ended at $31.01 low. Wave ((ii)) ended at $31.98 high, wave ((iii)) ended at $28.67 low, wave ((iv)) ended at $29.61 high. Below from there, wave ((v)) remains in progress with a minimum extension target coming at $28.45- $28.09 area lower before the next bounce happens. Near-term, as far as bounces fail below $31.98 & more importantly below $32.92 high the GDX is expected to extend lower to reach the extreme from May peak towards $26.77- $22.98 target area before a turn in favor of the ETF happens.

GDX 1 hour Elliott Wave chart from 8.11.2023

GDX Elliott Wave video

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

EUR/USD looks well bid above 1.1600

EUR/USD extends its recovery and climbs back above the 1.1600 mark in quite an auspicious start to the week. Improved risk appetite following the US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz continues to weigh on the US Dollar, lending support to the risk complex. Looking ahead, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting.

GBP/USD climbs to multi-day highs around 1.3460

GBP/USD remains comfortably in positive territory north of 1.3400 the figure on Monday. Cable continues to draw support from an improvement in market sentiment after reports that the US and Iran have reached a framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold extends the recovery, targets $4,400

Gold rallies on Monday and climbs well above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal benefits from renewed selling pressure on the Greenback as investors reassess the implications of the US-Iran agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Market participants now turn their attention to Wednesday's FOMC gathering.

Bitcoin consolidates gains, Ethereum defends support, XRP nears breakout trigger

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple begin the week on a constructive note as the top three cryptocurrencies attempt to extend rebounds after recovering nearly 4%, 2% and 2.6%, respectively. BTC steadies around $65,600, ETH continues to hold firmly above the key $1,700 support, while XRP nears the upper boundary of the falling channel pattern.

President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete

President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete and he authorises the toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz and removal of the US Naval blockade. While the agreement is made, it is expected to be signed on Friday to take effect. The Forex market looks stable and could react slowly to the positivity around the news as Iran still expresses its mistrust on the US.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.