GDX lower low sequence supports more downside [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

The short-term Elliott wave view in GDX suggests that the cycle from the 5 May 2023 peak is showing a 5 swings lower low sequence in higher time frame charts. Supporting more downside in the instrument. The decline from that peak is unfolding as an Elliott wave zigzag correction where wave (A) ended at $30.11 low. Wave (B) bounce unfolded as a lesser degree flat correction where wave A ended at $32.30 high. Wave B ended at $28.76 low, and wave C ended at $32.92 high thus completing wave (B).

Down from wave (B) high the decline is unfolding as an impulse sequence favoring more weakness. Whereas wave ((i)) ended at $31.01 low. Wave ((ii)) ended at $31.98 high, wave ((iii)) ended at $28.67 low, wave ((iv)) ended at $29.61 high. Below from there, wave ((v)) remains in progress with a minimum extension target coming at $28.45- $28.09 area lower before the next bounce happens. Near-term, as far as bounces fail below $31.98 & more importantly below $32.92 high the GDX is expected to extend lower to reach the extreme from May peak towards $26.77- $22.98 target area before a turn in favor of the ETF happens.

GDX 1 hour Elliott Wave chart from 8.11.2023

GDX Elliott Wave video

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold extends its struggle with $4,400, but bullish bias intact

Gold is holding the previous recovery from near $4,300 on early Monday, struggling around the key $4,400 level. However, buyers retain control as the new week kicks in, with all eyes on the Middle East updates and the Minutes of the US Federal Reserve July monetary policy meeting.

BTC/USD price outlook: Bitcoin navigating between arc levels. Potential continuation toward $58,000

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1D chart, Bitcoin is trading between the 0.5 Arc and 0.618 Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price has cleared the 0.5 Arc and is progressing toward the 0.618 Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the next Arc boundary. Metric

US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Economic cracks challenge Fed rate bets

It was a strange week for the US Dollar: while the geopolitical situation has remained largely unchanged, with the usual back-and-forth between the US, Iran, and occasional third parties, disappointing domestic data have re-emerged, reducing expectations of potential tightening by the Federal Reserve in the next few months.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.