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GBP/USD technical analysis: Bounces off low, upside likely to remain capped near 1.2700 handle

  • Disappointing UK macro data-led slide dragged the GBP/USD pair below an important confluence support - comprising of 100-hour SMA and over one-week-old ascending trend-line.
  • The pair subsequent dropped below 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the 1.2559-1.2762 recent corrective bounce and 200-hour SMA, paving the way for a further near-term downfall.

The pair, however, showed some resilience below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and recovered a bit. The uptick quickly ran out of the steam near the 38.2% Fibo. level, which should now act as a key pivotal point for intraday bullish traders. 

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the daily chart maintained their bearish bias and have also started gaining negative traction on the 4-hourly chart, pointing to a follow-through weakness amid persistent UK political and Brexit uncertainties.

Hence, any attempted recovery back towards the confluence support breakpoint - near the 1.2700-1.2710 region, might still be seen as a selling opportunity for an eventual slide towards 61.8% Fibo. level support near the 1.2635 region. 

GBP/USD 1-hourly chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2672
Today Daily Change-0.0065
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open1.2737
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2718
Daily SMA501.2908
Daily SMA1001.3
Daily SMA2001.2945
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2763
Previous Daily Low1.2688
Previous Weekly High1.2763
Previous Weekly Low1.261
Previous Monthly High1.3178
Previous Monthly Low1.2559
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2734
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2717
Daily Pivot Point S11.2696
Daily Pivot Point S21.2654
Daily Pivot Point S31.2621
Daily Pivot Point R11.2771
Daily Pivot Point R21.2804
Daily Pivot Point R31.2846

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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