|

GBP/USD struggling to recover back above 1.3100 handle

   •  Sliding US bond yields help limit deeper losses.
   •  Renewed UK political uncertainty might cap immediate up-move. 

The GBP/USD pair has managed to rebound around 30-pips from multi-day lows but was still seen struggling to move back above the 1.3100 handle. 

The British Pound fell sharply at the start of a new trading week amid speculation that the UK PM Theresa May could be pushed aside by members of her governing Conservative Party in a no-confidence vote.

The Sunday Times newspaper reported that as many as 40 MPs, just 8 shy of the total needed to launch a formal leadership challenge, are prepared to sign a letter backing the removal of May over her perceived weakness as Prime Minister and the lack of progress in Brexit talks with European Union officials in Brussels. 

The latest political development came at the time when the UK has been asked to provide clarity on the final Brexit settlement bill within 2-weeks and prompted some fresh selling around the British Pound.

   •  UK: Buckle up... it's going to be a bumpy Brexit ride - ING

The selling pressure, however, seems to have abated, at least for the time being, with a sharp slide in the US Treasury bond yields failing to assist the US Dollar to build on early up-move and providing some respite for the major. 

With a data-empty US economic docket, the incoming UK political headline and Brexit news would remain key determinants of the pair's movement through Monday's trading session.

Technical outlook

Bears would be eyeing for a breakthrough Nov. daily closing lows support near the 1.3060 region, below which the pair is likely to head towards testing the key 1.30 psychological mark.

On the upside, any recovery move back above the 1.3100 handle now seems to confront fresh supply near the 1.3130-35 region, above which the pair is likely to head towards the 1.3180-90 region and fill the weekly bearish gap.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces off multi-month low, nears 0.6900

AUD/USD edges higher toward 0.6900 in the Asian session on Wednesday, recovering some of the previous day’s losses to its lowest level since March as the US Dollar stalls the hot US CPI-inspired rally amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from FOMC members have almost confirmed another December rate hike, which favors USD bulls and should cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains capped below 159.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to build on the previous day’s strong gains to a near one-month top as intervention risk supports the Japanese Yen while hopes of a US-Iran peace deal cap the safe-haven US Dollar. That keeps the pair's upside limited below 159.00, for now.

Gold extends gains beyond $4,050; upside seems capped as Fed hike bets support USD

Gold climbs further beyond $4,050 heading into the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's heavy losses, though the upside seems limited. Tuesday's hot US inflation figures fuel expectations of a more aggressive policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This helps the US Dollar (USD) preserve Tuesday's strong gains, despite hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, and might keep a lid on any meaningful appreciation for the non-yielding bullion.

Pi Network extends gains against a bearish market backdrop

Pi Network continues to attract some buyers on Wednesday after an over 8% rebound the previous day. PI token sustains above $0.070 as the price extends its rebound after reaching an oversold level, decoupling from the broader market correction. Technically, Pi Network must break above the overhead trendline near $0.0740 to resume an upward trend.

Hot CPI helps cement December Fed hike as Nvidia slumps
October CPI inflation landed yesterday and beat expectations across the board. Note that we only received the MM figures because of last year’s government shutdown. Headline MM came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, though below September's 0.6%. Core MM also came in at 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate and matching the prior month’s reading.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.