|

GBP/USD struggles near one-month lows, around 1.3635 region ahead of FOMC

  • GBP/USD met with some fresh supply on Wednesday and refreshed monthly lows.
  • Bulls seemed unimpressed by a subdued USD price action amid the risk-on impulse.
  • Some cross-driven weakness stemming from EUR/GBP weighed on the British pound.

The GBP/USD pair broke down of its intraday consolidative trading range and dropped to one-month lows, around the 1.3635-30 region during the first half of the European session.

The pair struggled to capitalize on its modest uptick, instead met with some fresh supply near the 1.3675-80 region and failed to benefit from a subdued US dollar price action. The risk-on impulse in the markets held traders from placing any aggressive bullish bets around the safe-haven greenback.

The global risk sentiment got a lift after China's struggling property giant Evergrande said it would pay the bond interest due on Thursday. That said, expectations for an imminent Fed taper announcement, along with a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields acting as a tailwind for the greenback.

Hence, the downtick could be solely attributed to some repositioning trade ahead of the crucial FOMC policy decision, scheduled to be announced later this Wednesday. Investors will look for clues about the likely timing of the Fed's tapering plan before placing fresh directional bets.

Meanwhile, some cross-driven weakness stemming from a fresh leg up in the EUR/GBP cross further contributed to the GBP/USD pair's intraday decline. This marks the fourth day of a negative move in the previous five sessions and might have already set the stage for further losses.

From current levels, the 1.3600 round-figure mark testing in August seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of YTD lows, around the 1.3570 region. Some follow-through selling should pave the way for a slide to the key 1.3500 psychological mark heading into the BoE meeting on Thursday.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3638
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open1.3661
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3781
Daily SMA501.3797
Daily SMA1001.3908
Daily SMA2001.384
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3693
Previous Daily Low1.3641
Previous Weekly High1.3913
Previous Weekly Low1.3728
Previous Monthly High1.3958
Previous Monthly Low1.3602
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3673
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3661
Daily Pivot Point S11.3637
Daily Pivot Point S21.3613
Daily Pivot Point S31.3585
Daily Pivot Point R11.3689
Daily Pivot Point R21.3717
Daily Pivot Point R31.3741

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).