|

GBP/USD struggles near multi-week low, below 1.1900 mark ahead of US NFP

  • GBP/USD remains on the defensive near a multi-week low amid sustained USD buying.
  • Thursday’s upbeat US data reaffirms hawkish Fed expectations and underpins the USD.
  • The focus remains glued to the release of the closely-watched US monthly jobs report.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to gain any meaningful traction on Friday and oscillated in a narrow trading band through the first half of the European session. The pair is currently placed just below the 1.1900 mark, or a fresh six-week low touched in the last hour.

Thursday's upbeat US macro data continues to boost the US Dollar for the second successive day, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the better-than-expected ADP report on the US private-sector employment and Initial Jobless Claims pointed to a resilient US labour market.

This further suggested that the economy ended 2022 on solid footing and could allow the Federal Reserve to stick to its aggressive rate hike path. That said, subdued action around the US Treasury bond yields fails to impress the USD bulls and could lend some support to the GBP/USD pair ahead of the closely-watched US jobs data.

The popularly known US NFP report, due for release later during the early North American session, could influence the Fed's near-term policy outlook. This, in turn, will play a key role in driving the USD demand and provide a fresh directional impetus to the GBP/USD pair. The bleak outlook for the UK economy, meanwhile, still favours bearish traders.

Hence, any attempted recovery could now be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out. The GBP/USD pair seems vulnerable to extending its recent pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.2400s, or the highest level since June 2022. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register heavy weekly losses, marking the third in the previous four.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1887
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open1.191
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2119
Daily SMA501.1947
Daily SMA1001.1666
Daily SMA2001.2024
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2078
Previous Daily Low1.1873
Previous Weekly High1.2126
Previous Weekly Low1.2002
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1952
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2
Daily Pivot Point S11.1829
Daily Pivot Point S21.1749
Daily Pivot Point S31.1624
Daily Pivot Point R11.2034
Daily Pivot Point R21.2159
Daily Pivot Point R31.2239

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold traders seem noncommittal below $4,350; eyes Fed rate decision

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below $4,350. The US Dollar eases from a two-week high amid some profit-taking, offering support to the commodity. Traders, however, seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and opt to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk.

Cardano's bearish breakout warns of a 15% downside risk
Cardano (ADA) hovers around $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday after a 6% decline the previous day, breaking below a crucial support level. Declining on-chain activity across the Cardano ecosystem, with reduced transaction count and Real Economic Value (REV), suggests waning user demand.
Fed decision in focus

Starting with the most important, the Fed decision. Heading into the event, data showed a rather punchy US August jobs report, which, you will likely recall, triggered a hawkish Fed rate repricing in rates markets. However, the recent US August CPI print mattered more.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.