|

GBP/USD sticks to modest gains below mid-1.1800s, moves little post-US Retail Sales

  • GBP/USD gained some positive traction on Friday amid subdued USD price action.
  • The USD bulls seemed rather unimpressed by stronger monthly US Retail Sales data.
  • Weaker US bond yields, a positive risk tone undermined the safe-haven greenback.

The GBP/USD pair held on to its modest intraday gains, below the 1.1850 region, through the early North American session and moved little in reaction to upbeat US macro data.

The US Census Bureau reported this Friday that Retail Sales rose 1% in June, better than estimates for a 0.8% increase. Adding to this, the previous month's reading was also revised higher to show a 0.1% decline as against the 0.3% fall reported earlier. Furthermore, excluding autos, core retail sales also surpassed expectations and climbed 1% in June, up from the 0.5% increase in the previous month.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday that his decision to back the case for an aggressive rate hike at the upcoming meeting depends on incoming data. Waller specifically cited retail sales and housing as two key metrics. Hence, the stronger data might have lifted bets for a 100 bps rate hike move on July 27, though failed to impress the US dollar bulls and provide any impetus to the GBP/USD pair.

A rather muted reaction in the money markets turned out to be a key factor that held back the US D bulls on the defensive. Apart from this, a goodish recovery in the global risk sentiment, as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets, continued denting the greenback's safe-haven status. This, in turn, offered some support to the GBP/USD pair and remained supportive of the modest intraday gains.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1834
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.1823
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2097
Daily SMA501.2293
Daily SMA1001.2658
Daily SMA2001.3081
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1895
Previous Daily Low1.176
Previous Weekly High1.2165
Previous Weekly Low1.1876
Previous Monthly High1.2617
Previous Monthly Low1.1934
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1812
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1844
Daily Pivot Point S11.1757
Daily Pivot Point S21.1691
Daily Pivot Point S31.1622
Daily Pivot Point R11.1892
Daily Pivot Point R21.1961
Daily Pivot Point R31.2027

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).