|

GBP/USD sticks to modest gains below mid-1.1800s, moves little post-US Retail Sales

  • GBP/USD gained some positive traction on Friday amid subdued USD price action.
  • The USD bulls seemed rather unimpressed by stronger monthly US Retail Sales data.
  • Weaker US bond yields, a positive risk tone undermined the safe-haven greenback.

The GBP/USD pair held on to its modest intraday gains, below the 1.1850 region, through the early North American session and moved little in reaction to upbeat US macro data.

The US Census Bureau reported this Friday that Retail Sales rose 1% in June, better than estimates for a 0.8% increase. Adding to this, the previous month's reading was also revised higher to show a 0.1% decline as against the 0.3% fall reported earlier. Furthermore, excluding autos, core retail sales also surpassed expectations and climbed 1% in June, up from the 0.5% increase in the previous month.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday that his decision to back the case for an aggressive rate hike at the upcoming meeting depends on incoming data. Waller specifically cited retail sales and housing as two key metrics. Hence, the stronger data might have lifted bets for a 100 bps rate hike move on July 27, though failed to impress the US dollar bulls and provide any impetus to the GBP/USD pair.

A rather muted reaction in the money markets turned out to be a key factor that held back the US D bulls on the defensive. Apart from this, a goodish recovery in the global risk sentiment, as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets, continued denting the greenback's safe-haven status. This, in turn, offered some support to the GBP/USD pair and remained supportive of the modest intraday gains.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1834
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.1823
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2097
Daily SMA501.2293
Daily SMA1001.2658
Daily SMA2001.3081
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1895
Previous Daily Low1.176
Previous Weekly High1.2165
Previous Weekly Low1.1876
Previous Monthly High1.2617
Previous Monthly Low1.1934
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1812
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1844
Daily Pivot Point S11.1757
Daily Pivot Point S21.1691
Daily Pivot Point S31.1622
Daily Pivot Point R11.1892
Daily Pivot Point R21.1961
Daily Pivot Point R31.2027

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hovers around daily lows near 1.3450

GBP/USD trades with decent losses on Thursday, revisiting the 1.3450 zone. Cable’s resumption of the selling interest comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the improved sentiment around the Greenback amid fresh concerns in the Middle East.

EUR/USD slips back to two-day lows near 1.1510

EUR/USD faces some renewed downside pressure and retests the low 1.1500s in the latter part of Thursday’s NA session. The move lower in spot comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the fresh bid bias in the US Dollar amid the re-emergence of some effervescence in the Middle East. Moving forward, US NFP data will take centre stage on Friday.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Whales absorb retail distribution as bear market nears late stage​
Ethereum (ETH) large holders have been accumulating the supply of retail investors in 2026. In a report released late Wednesday, CryptoQuant analysts highlighted that the supply of the 1K-10K ETH cohort has fallen from 15.6 million ETH in January to roughly 12.9 million ETH.
Markets question Fed's inflation resolve after July FOMC meeting
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh continues to project a tough stance on inflation, repeatedly promising to restore price stability and keep inflation anchored at the central bank's longstanding 2% target. But according to Mike Maharrey in this week's Money Metals Midweek Memo, markets are beginning to judge the Fed by its actions rather than its rhetoric—and so far, they aren't convinced.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.