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GBP/USD sees upside above 1.2250 as risk-on impulse rebounds, UK Employment in focus

  • GBP/USD looks to scale above 1.2250 amid positive market sentiment.
  • Brexit jitters on the expectation of a retaliatory move from the EU on the UK's unilateral move to reject NIP.
  • This week, employment data from the UK and US Retail Sales will remain focused.

The GBP/USD pair is hovering around 1.2250 at open and is likely to elevate further amid a rebound in the risk-sensitive assets experienced on Friday, which is expected to be carry-forwarded on Monday. The FX domain found relief on Friday after a spree of bearish days amid back-to-back economic events in the US economy.

The announcement of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in which the central bank stepped up its benchmark rates by 50 basis points (bps), followed by upbeat Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) spooked the market participants.

The US agencies reported the additional jobs in the total labor force at 428k, much higher than the estimates of 391k, which US inflation recorded at 8.3%, higher than the forecasts of 8.1%. The above-expected recordings from the US economy have raised the odds of one more jumbo rate hike by the Fed in its monetary policy in June.

Now, investors’ focus will shift to the US Retail Sales on Tuesday. A preliminary estimate for the monthly Retail Sales is 0.7%.

On the pound front, sterling remained mute on the underperformance of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers. The quarterly GDP landed at 0.8%, lower than the consensus of 1%. Meanwhile, Brexit jitters have elevated further as some retaliatory moves are expected from the European Union (EU) as the UK is likely to lay the groundwork to unilaterally disapply parts of the Northern Ireland Protocol (NIP), said TD Securities.

Now investors are focusing on releasing the ILO Unemployment Rate to be unveiled by the UK National Statistics on Tuesday. The economic data is seen unchanged at 3.8%.  

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2249
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.2262
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2578
Daily SMA501.2896
Daily SMA1001.3209
Daily SMA2001.3397
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2265
Previous Daily Low1.2155
Previous Weekly High1.2406
Previous Weekly Low1.2155
Previous Monthly High1.3167
Previous Monthly Low1.2411
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2223
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2197
Daily Pivot Point S11.219
Daily Pivot Point S21.2118
Daily Pivot Point S31.2081
Daily Pivot Point R11.2299
Daily Pivot Point R21.2337
Daily Pivot Point R31.2409

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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