|

GBP/USD sees gains after Fed discussed a possible pause on its tightening cycle

  • GBP/USD stays positive, aiming towards testing the 1.2500 figure.
  • FOMC’s minutes showed that participants expected to raise 50 bps, but the banking crisis, put a possible pause on the table.
  • US Inflation dipped, but core CPI remained at the prior’s month levels.

The GBP/USD advances after the release of the US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes for the last meeting showed that officials discussed a possible pause in their tightening campaign. Therefore, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2489 after hitting a daily low of 1.2398.

FOMC’s minutes flashed a pause and a 50 bps rate hike

In the latest Fed monetary policy reunion, officials considered a pause after the failure of two regional banks amidst fears that further tightening could cause financial stress. Nevertheless, those participants and others agreed that actions taken by the Fed calmed worries in the banking sector. The measures taken by the Fed were similar to those of the Bank of England (BoE) after the bond turmoil due to the ex-PM Liz Truss’s mini-budget, given the backdrop, that supported a 25 bps rate hike by the Fed at their latest meeting.

Participants commented that inflation is still above the 2% goal and that inflation pressures were “abating at a pace sufficient to return inflation to 2% over time.” Some Fed members noted that they considered a 50-basis point increase if there was not a banking crisis. Furthermore, Fed policymakers observed, “that inflation remained much too high and that the labor market remained too tight.”

Earlier, an inflation report from the US revealed that headline CPI dropped from 6% in February to 5% annually. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy, remained at 5.6% YoY, unchanged.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD Daily Chart

After snapping on Tuesday, four days of straight losses, the GBP/USD is poised to test the 1.2500 figure in the near term. Even though the 100-day EMA remains below the 200-day EMA, it’s about to cross over, cementing the case for the GBP bullish bias. Though a decisive break of 1.2500, the GBP/USD pair could rally and test the June 9 high at 1.2599, ahead of clearing 1.2600.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2486
Today Daily Change0.0061
Today Daily Change %0.49
Today daily open1.2425
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2317
Daily SMA501.2158
Daily SMA1001.217
Daily SMA2001.1906
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2457
Previous Daily Low1.2381
Previous Weekly High1.2525
Previous Weekly Low1.2275
Previous Monthly High1.2424
Previous Monthly Low1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2428
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.241
Daily Pivot Point S11.2385
Daily Pivot Point S21.2344
Daily Pivot Point S31.2308
Daily Pivot Point R11.2461
Daily Pivot Point R21.2497
Daily Pivot Point R31.2537

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.