|

GBP/USD: Scope for a potential visit to parity – UOB

In the opinion of FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD risks a probable drop to the parity zone.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While we expected GBP to weaken further yesterday, we were of the view that ‘1.0300 is likely out of reach for now’. However, GBP did not weaken further as it rebounded strongly to a high of 1.0934 before dropping back down to close at 1.0690 (-1.50%). The strong downward pressure has eased a tad and GBP is unlikely to revisit yesterday’s low of 1.0327. For today, GBP could continue to trade in a choppy manner and likely within a wide range of 1.0600/1.0900.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Our view from yesterday (26 Sep, spot at 1.0600) still stands. As indicated, in view of the impulsive downward acceleration, a further decline in GBP to 1.0000 is not ruled out. That said, deeply oversold short-term conditions suggest GBP could trade above yesterday’s low of 1.0327 for a few days first. On the upside, a break of 1.1000 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from yesterday) would indicate that the weakness in GBP from about 2 weeks ago has stabilized.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge lower, XRP extends recovery as macro headwinds weigh

The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating on Friday, with Bitcoin paring losses slightly above $84,000. Ethereum declines in tandem with BTC. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, paints a different picture.



Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which
The Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.