GBP/USD retreats further from monthly top, slides closer to mid-1.3400s


  • GBP/USD faced rejection near the 1.3500 mark and witnessed a modest pullback on Thursday.
  • Resurgent USD demand exerted pressure amid the worsening COVID-19 situation in the UK.
  • Britain reported a record number of cases amid an alarming spread of the Omicron variant.

The GBP/USD pair maintained its bid tone through the early European session and was last seen trading near the daily low, around the 1.3465-60 region.

The pair struggled to find acceptance above the key 1.3500 psychological mark and witnessed a modest pullback from the highest level since November 19 touched earlier this Thursday. The US dollar made a solid comeback and reversed a major part of the overnight losses back closer to the monthly low. This, along with the worsening COVID-19 situation in the United Kingdom, attracted some selling around the GBP/USD pair.

The greenback drew some support from the overnight spike in the US Treasury bond yields that followed soft demand for a $56 billion auction of seven-year notes. In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond shot to 1.56% for the first time since November 29. Adding to this, the Fed's hawkish outlook pushed the two-year yield to the highest since March 2020 and provided a goodish lift to the greenback.

Meanwhile, Britain reported a record 183,037 new COVID-19 cases on Wednesday, which could force the government to impose more restrictions. It is worth recalling that the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson had said last week that ministers would keep the latest data under constant review to see if additional stricter measures are needed. This was seen as another factor that acted as a headwind for the British pound.

It, however, remains to be seen if the GBP/USD pair is able to attract some buying at lower levels or the downtick marks the end of the recent strong recovery from the YTD low touched earlier this month. There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release from the UK. This warrants some caution for bearish traders makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through selling before confirming that the pair has topped out.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket – featuring the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Chicago PMI – for a fresh impetus. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics. Traders might also take cues from developments surrounding the coronavirus saga to grab some short-term opportunities around the GBP/USD pair amid thin end-of-year trading conditions.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.3466
Today Daily Change -0.0019
Today Daily Change % -0.14
Today daily open 1.3485
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3302
Daily SMA50 1.3431
Daily SMA100 1.3573
Daily SMA200 1.3749
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.35
Previous Daily Low 1.3409
Previous Weekly High 1.3438
Previous Weekly Low 1.3174
Previous Monthly High 1.3698
Previous Monthly Low 1.3194
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3465
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3443
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3429
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3373
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3338
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.352
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3555
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3611

 

 

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