|

GBP/USD remains vulnerable, with key support at 1.2600 under pressure

  • The pound loses ground on USD strength and a risk-off sentiment 
  • Speculation about BoE cuts likely to add pressure on the GBP
  • A double-top at 1.2730 might trigger a trend change


The Pound is trading lower on Tuesday, weighed by negative market sentiment and a somewhat stronger USD with bears looking at the 1.2600 support area.

Speculation about BoE rate cuts

Beyond that, UK interest rate swaps have boosted speculation that the BoE might start cutting interest rates in June 2025, which is giving further hope for Pound sellers.

In the calendar today, the final of the UK Global/CIPS Services PMI and, in the US, the ISM Services PMI and October’s JOLTS Job Openings will provide the fundamental framework.

Potential double top at 1.2730

The technical picture shows the pair losing bullish momentum with price action crossing below the 4h 50 SMA aiming to 1.2600. A clear move here would trigger a double-top at 1.2730 increasing pressure towards 1.2517 ahead of the measured target, at 1.2460.

On the upside, immediate resistance lies at 1.2645 and 1.2730.

Technical levels to watch
 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2628
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.2632
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2487
Daily SMA501.2307
Daily SMA1001.2478
Daily SMA2001.2474
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2724
Previous Daily Low1.2604
Previous Weekly High1.2733
Previous Weekly Low1.2591
Previous Monthly High1.2733
Previous Monthly Low1.2096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.265
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2678
Daily Pivot Point S11.2582
Daily Pivot Point S21.2533
Daily Pivot Point S31.2462
Daily Pivot Point R11.2703
Daily Pivot Point R21.2774
Daily Pivot Point R31.2823

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).