|

GBP/USD recovers above 1.31, eyes on EU summit

The GBP/USD pair came under a new selling pressure in the Asian session and plummeted to a fresh 10-day low at 1.3087 before staging a modest recovery. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.3135, still losing 0.18% on the day.

After the US Senate approved a budget blueprint, which would open the door for the Trump administration to go on with the tax-reform even if Democrats didn't support it, boosted the greenback, lifting the US Dollar Index to 93.40 and weighed on the pair. However, ahead of the European session start, the DXY started to consolidate its recent upsurge and allowed the pair to retrace a portion of its losses. The index was last seen at 93.25, up 0.26% on the day.

In the meantime, speaking on the sidelines at the EU summit,  European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said that he was assuming that they wouldn't end up with a no-deal on Brexit. Later in the day, EU leaders will be discussing Article 50, which will be followed by a joint press conference by the President of the European Council and the President of the European Commission at 12 GMT. An optimistic tone over the Brexit discussions could allow the GBP to gather strength against its peers. 

The economic calendar will be relatively quiet on Friday, leaving the pair at the mercy of Brexit headlines and DXY movements.

Technical outlook

The immediate support for the pair aligns at 1.3100 (100-DMA/psychological level) before 1.3030 (Oct. 6 low) and 1.3000 (psychological level). On the flip side, resistances could be seen at 1.3215 (50-DMA/20-DMA), 1.3300 (psychological level) and 1.3340 (Oct. 12 high). The RSI indicator on the daily graph for the pair stays below the 30 mark, suggesting that sellers are still in control.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?