|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Sinks below 1.2900 amid concerns over Trump’s policies

  • GBP/USD breaches key 1.2850 level; eyes 200-day SMA support at 1.2811.
  • Close below 200-day SMA may lead to further losses, with next support at 1.2664.
  • RSI momentum points to bearish control as election fallout pressures Pound.

The Pound Sterling plunged over 1.20% against the US Dollar on Wednesday after former US President Donald Trump won the 2024 Presidential election. Fears of tariffs and protectionist policies weighed on Cable, which is having its worst daily loss since October 3. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades at 1.2881 after reaching a daily high of 1.3047.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD finally broke below the 1.2850 area and hit a daily low of 1.2833 but still fell shy of testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 1.2811. If the pair achieves a daily close below the 200-day SMA, this will cement its bearish bias, opening the door to test 1.2800. GBP/USD would extend its losses once cleared, and the next support would be seen at 1.2664, the August 8 swing low, followed by the 1.2600 mark.

For a bullish scenario, the GBP/USD must surpass the 1.2900 figure and the 100-day SMA at 1.2985.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicated further downside. The RSI made a U-turn, falling steeper, an indication that sellers are in charge.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Euro.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 1.89%1.16%1.77%0.78%0.97%0.71%1.45%
EUR-1.89% -0.72%-0.12%-1.08%-0.91%-1.16%-0.42%
GBP-1.16%0.72% 0.60%-0.37%-0.19%-0.44%0.30%
JPY-1.77%0.12%-0.60% -0.98%-0.80%-1.06%-0.31%
CAD-0.78%1.08%0.37%0.98% 0.18%-0.07%0.67%
AUD-0.97%0.91%0.19%0.80%-0.18% -0.26%0.50%
NZD-0.71%1.16%0.44%1.06%0.07%0.26% 0.74%
CHF-1.45%0.42%-0.30%0.31%-0.67%-0.50%-0.74% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD advaces beyond 1.3450 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD gains positive momentum on Thursday, surpassing 1.3450 and trading at fresh multi-week highs. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helped the pair advance, while renewed US Dollar weakness across the FX board pushed the pair further up ahead of the monthly close.

EUR/USD confortable around 1.1530, highest in six weeks

The EUR/USD pair trades around 1.1530 in the American session on Thursday, reaching fresh six-week highs. The US Dollar is in sell-off mode, with multiple factors weighing on the American currency. Not only did the Federal Reserve vote divided to keep rates on hold on Wednesday, creating doubts about a September hike, but US Q2 GDP missed expectations. A suspected JPY intervention adds pressure on the Greenback.

Gold recovers the $4,100 level as US Dollar weakens further

Gold trades just above $4,100 amid a US Dollar sell-off. The Greenback enjoyed some near-term demand following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall, but was unable to retain its gains. The preliminary estimate of the US Q2 GDP showed the economy grew at an annual rate of 1.5%, missing the market's expectations of 2.1%.

Bank of Japan set to keep interest rates unchanged after suspected Yen intervention

Investors are turning their attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy announcement on Friday, after the Japanese Yen staged a dramatic rebound during Thursday's American session. The move came amid growing speculation that Japanese authorities intervened in the foreign exchange market after USD/JPY tumbled from above 163.00 to below 158.00 within minutes.

Aave to sunset Sonic, Aptos, zkSync, Scroll reserves, affecting $98 million in supply

Aave is planning to sunset 75 low-activity reserves across its decentralized finance protocol as part of a broader effort to reduce operational, technical and economic risks across its network of deployments.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.