|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Battles key 1.3210 resistance on the road to recovery

  • GBP/USD is on a gradual recovery mode, as the US Dollar resumes the downside.
  • The focus now shifts to the US Q2 GDP data for fresh trading impetus in GBP/USD.
  • The Pound Sterling looks bullish against the US Dollar on the four-hour chart.

GBP/USD is making a headway back toward the 29-month high set on Tuesday at 1.3266. The pair is helped by a renewed selling seen in the US Dollar even as risk-off flows dominate, in the aftermath of the disappointing guidance shared by the American AI titan, Nvidia.  

The divergent monetary policy outlooks between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE) also remain in favor of the GBP/USD uptrend. 

However, the further upside in the pair remains at the mercy of the upcoming second estimate of the US Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the acceptance above the 21-Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the four-hour chart.

The 21-day SMA aligns at 1.3210, where it now wavers. Recapturing the latter is necessary on a four-hourly candlestick closing basis to take on the 1.3250 psychological level.

Fresh buyers will likely emerge above that level, calling for the test of the two-year high of 1.3266 en route to the 1.3300 round figure.

Conversely, a failure to gain a strong foothold above the 21-SMA, sellers will jump back into the game, dragging GBP/USD back toward the 50-SMA at 1.3120.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), however, points north near 60, suggesting that the recovery mode could extend.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.15%-0.16%0.10%-0.15%-0.29%-0.79%-0.24%
EUR0.15% -0.02%0.24%-0.02%-0.15%-0.64%-0.07%
GBP0.16%0.02% 0.27%0.00%-0.12%-0.61%-0.02%
JPY-0.10%-0.24%-0.27% -0.23%-0.39%-0.91%-0.30%
CAD0.15%0.02%-0.01%0.23% -0.13%-0.64%-0.04%
AUD0.29%0.15%0.12%0.39%0.13% -0.48%0.13%
NZD0.79%0.64%0.61%0.91%0.64%0.48% 0.59%
CHF0.24%0.07%0.02%0.30%0.04%-0.13%-0.59% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with weekly highs in the Fed's aftermath

GBP/USD reversed early losses following the Federal Reserve decision to keep rates on hold and neared the 1.3360 level before shedding some ground. Focus shifts to Governor Kevin Warsh's speech, while the Bank of England will announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday.

EUR/USD extends rally pass 1.1450 on Fed's Warsh

EUR/USD trades at fresh weekly highs above 1.1450, following the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision to keep interest rates on hold. The statement showed policymakers remain confident in economic progress while blaming inflation on energy prices. The divided vote among officials put in doubt a September hike, leading to sharp US Dollar losses.

Gold  hovers around $4,100 as Fed decision hits the USD

Gold surged following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. Policymakers noted that inflation remains elevated and that economic activity is expanding at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty, spurring doubts about a rate hike in September. XAU/USD peaked above $4,100, now battling to retain the level.

No soft target: Warsh vows to return inflation to 2%
The Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, but the decision carried a distinctly hawkish edge as three officials voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase. Chair Kevin Warsh reinforced that message, insisting there was no tolerance for a softer inflation target and warning that the Fed would not hesitate to act.
How the CLARITY Act unlocks Wall Street’s tokenization pipeline
The United States (US) Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), awaiting a full Senate floor vote, promises to unlock Wall Street’s potential to tokenize financial assets, including equities, US Treasuries, private credit, real estate and commodities at a scale that could supercharge the real-world asset (RWA) market from the current $17 billion level to $5.5 trillion by 2030, according to
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.