|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Uptrend falters above 21-DMA ahead of BOE rate decision

  • GBP/USD’s four-day recovery rally loses steam amid USD rebound.
  • The BOE to hike rates by 25bps, more hawkishness is needed to lift the GBP.
  • Cable fails to find acceptance above 21-DMA ahead of the BOE announcements.

GBP/USD is battling 1.3550, looking to extend its retreat from an eight-day top of 1.3587, as the US dollar bulls jump onto the bids amid a risk-off market mood.

The cable is snapping its four-day recovery rally also as bulls turn cautious and refrain from placing any fresh bets on the pound ahead of the Bank of England (BOE) showdown.

The BOE is likely to hike rates by another 25-basis points (bps) to 0.50% this ‘Super Thursday’, although it could lead to ‘sell the fact’ trading in the pound, as a 25bps rate lift-off is already discounted.

Further hawkishness from the BOE is needed to revive the uptrend in the cable pair going forward. The ECB policy decision will be also eyed for any cross-driven impact on GBP/USD.

Looking at GBP/USD’s daily chart, the pair is retracing below the 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) resistance at 1.3560.

The additional decline will see a test of the descending 100-DMA cap at 1.3513. The next downside target is aligned at the 1.3500 round level.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is turning south towards the midline, backing the latest downtick in the price.           

GBP/USD: Daily chart

However, if the bulls regain control, then acceptance above the 21-DMA support-turned-resistance is critical for reviving the bullish reversal from multi-week troughs.  

Further up, the February 2 highs of 1.3587 will get retested, opening doors for recapturing 1.3600.

GBP/USD: Additional technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3553
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open1.3572
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.356
Daily SMA501.3427
Daily SMA1001.3515
Daily SMA2001.3715
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3588
Previous Daily Low1.3514
Previous Weekly High1.3566
Previous Weekly Low1.3358
Previous Monthly High1.3749
Previous Monthly Low1.3358
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.356
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3542
Daily Pivot Point S11.3528
Daily Pivot Point S21.3484
Daily Pivot Point S31.3454
Daily Pivot Point R11.3601
Daily Pivot Point R21.3631
Daily Pivot Point R31.3675

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Sellers attack 1.1700 as USD stages a solid comeback

EUR/USD attacks 1.1700 amid heavy selling interest in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A solid comeback staged by the US Dollar weighs heavily on the pair, as traders look to USD short covering ahead of US CPI on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD slides toward 1.3300 after softer-than-expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD has come under intense selling pressure, eyeing 1.3300 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board. 

Gold: Bulls await breakout through multi-day-old range amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range amid mixed fundamental cues. The global risk sentiment remains on the defensive amid economic woes and fears of the AI bubble burst. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal, though a modest US Dollar uptick might cap any further appreciating move.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.