|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: The immediate upside barrier is seen at the 1.2800 mark, BoE rate decision looms

  • GBP/USD trades on a stronger note near 1.2790 ahead of the BoE rate decision.
  • The pair keeps the bullish vibe above the key EMA; RSI indicator lies above the 50 midlines.
  • The immediate upside barrier is seen at the 1.2800 mark; the initial support level is located at 1.2735.

The GBP/USD pair holds positive ground below the 1.2800 psychological barrier during the early European session on Thursday. The weaker US Dollar (USD) following the Federal Reserve interest rate decision provides some support to the major pair. GBP/USD currently trades around 1.2790, up 0.04% on the day.

The US Fed held the rate steady at 5.25–5.50% at its March meeting on Wednesday, with the median dot plot for 2024 unchanged from the 75 basis points (bps) of cuts reported in the December projections. Investors will closely watch the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting on Thursday, with no change in rate expected.

According to the four-hour chart, GBP/USD resumes its upside as the major pair bounces above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) lies above the 50 midlines, supporting the buyers for the time being.

The immediate upside barrier for the major pair is seen near the confluence of the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band and a psychological level of 1.2800. A decisive break above the latter will see a rally to a high of March 14 at 1.2823, en route to a high of March 11 at 1.2862, and finally the 1.2900 round mark.

On the other hand, the initial support level is located at the 100-period EMA at 1.2735. The additional downside filter to watch is a low of March 20 at 1.2684. Any follow-through selling will see a drop to the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.2668.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2791
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.2786
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2728
Daily SMA501.2687
Daily SMA1001.2632
Daily SMA2001.2594
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2787
Previous Daily Low1.2684
Previous Weekly High1.2865
Previous Weekly Low1.2725
Previous Monthly High1.2773
Previous Monthly Low1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2748
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2724
Daily Pivot Point S11.2718
Daily Pivot Point S21.265
Daily Pivot Point S31.2615
Daily Pivot Point R11.2821
Daily Pivot Point R21.2855
Daily Pivot Point R31.2923

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold hits two-week highs above $4,100 despite widening Mideast conflict

Gold hits two-week highs above $4,100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The bright metal seems to ride the optimistic wave that diplomatic efforts are underway. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets. They could act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid widening US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

The market runs back into AI despite higher Oil and yields
World stocks surged as traders made a spirited return to the market’s commanding centre of gravity, piling back into semiconductors, AI leaders and momentum, with the enthusiasm of a crowd rushing through the one door it still trusts. The Nasdaq led Wall Street higher, semiconductor shares jumped more than 5%, and momentum staged its strongest rebound in years.
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.