|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Retreats from 200-SMA, weekly resistance line, Cable bears eye 1.2425

  • GBP/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off three-week low.
  • Convergence of 200-SMA, one-week-old descending trend line guards Sterling Pound’s immediate upside.
  • One-month-old rising support line can prod the Cable pair sellers.

GBP/USD prints three-day downtrend despite positing mild losses around 1.2480 during early Thursday, fading the previous day’s bounce off a three-week low.

In doing so, the Pound Sterling takes a U-turn from the convergence of the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from May 10, close to 1.2490 at the latest. Adding strength to the pullback moves are the steady RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals.

As a result, the Cable pair appears all set to drop towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its April-May upside, near 1.2430. However, a one-month-old ascending support line, close to 1.2425 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the GBP/USD bears afterward.

In a case where the GBP/USD price drops below 1.2425, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward a five-week-old horizontal support zone near 1.2355-45 can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, the GBP/USD pair’s recovery needs to provide a successful break of the 1.2490 resistance confluence to convince buyers.

Following that, the tops marked during mid-April and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, respectively near 1.2545 and 1.2585, may challenge the Cable pair buyers before directing them to the recently marked multi-day peak of 1.2680.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2481
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open1.2487
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2519
Daily SMA501.2393
Daily SMA1001.2263
Daily SMA2001.1966
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.251
Previous Daily Low1.2422
Previous Weekly High1.268
Previous Weekly Low1.244
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2456
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2476
Daily Pivot Point S11.2436
Daily Pivot Point S21.2384
Daily Pivot Point S31.2347
Daily Pivot Point R11.2524
Daily Pivot Point R21.2562
Daily Pivot Point R31.2613

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Week ahead: RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP
The US dollar staged a modest recovery this week, perhaps as traders decided to cover some of their short positions amid slightly stickier or in-line US PCE inflation numbers for July, confounding expectations of softer prints amid the softness revealed in the CPI data for the month.
CFTC Report: CAD short covering leads; Gold buying surges
The week in one sentence: speculative positioning shifted more constructively in the week to August 25. CAD short covering led the move, followed by a broad reduction in EUR shorts and renewed Gold buying. GBP and VIX positioning also improved, while JPY positioning deteriorated and WTI flows diverged from weaker prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.