GBP/USD Price Analysis: Remains on the defensive below the 1.2400 mark, UK inflation, Fed rate decision eyed


  • GBP/USD remains under pressure near a three-month low of around 1.2390 on Monday.
  • The pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour EMAs; Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands below 50, within bearish territory.
  • The key resistance level is seen near the 1.2420-1.2430 zone; 1.2367 acts as an initial support level.

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive below the 1.2400 mark during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The major pair currently trades near 1.2390, up 0.06% on the day. Market players prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key event from this week. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision and the UK Consumer Price Index for August will be due. These events could trigger the volatility in the pair.

From the technical perspective, GBP/USD holds below the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with a downward slope on the one-hour chart, which means further downside looks favorable. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands below 50, within bearish territory, suggesting that sellers are likely to retain control in the near term.

The key resistance level for GBP/USD is seen near the confluence of the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band and the 50-hour EMA at the 1.2420-1.2430 region. The additional upside filter is located at 1.2445 (the 100-hour EMA). Further north, a psychological round figure at 1.2500 will be the next barrier for the pair, followed by 1.2530 (a high of September 12).

On the downside, any follow-through selling below the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.2367 will see a drop to 1.2350 (a low of May 31). The next contention for the pair emerges near a round mark and a low of May 25 at 1.2300.

GBP/USD one-hour chart

 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2391
Today Daily Change 0.0008
Today Daily Change % 0.06
Today daily open 1.2383
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2577
Daily SMA50 1.2733
Daily SMA100 1.2654
Daily SMA200 1.2433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2446
Previous Daily Low 1.2379
Previous Weekly High 1.2548
Previous Weekly Low 1.2379
Previous Monthly High 1.2841
Previous Monthly Low 1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2405
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.242
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2359
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2336
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2292
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2426
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.247
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2494

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Further weakness remains in the pipeline

AUD/USD: Further weakness remains in the pipeline

AUD/USD resumed its decline and slipped back to the 0.6360-0.6350 band, or monthly troughs, on the back of the strong resumption of the bid bias around the Greenback, which was reignited following the US-China trade talks over the weekend.

EUR/USD: A drop to 1.1000 in the offing?

EUR/USD: A drop to 1.1000 in the offing?

EUR/USD accelerated its monthly retracement on Monday, retreating to multi-week lows in the vicinity of 1.1060 following the generalised recovery in the US Dollar, all in response to the auspicious outcome from the US-China talks in Geneva on Saturday.

Gold: Gains appear limited near $3,250

Gold: Gains appear limited near $3,250

Gold began the week under pressure, retreating toward the $3,200 mark per troy ounce, where some support appeared to materialise. The decline followed a broader improvement in risk sentiment after encouraging developments emerged from US-China trade talks over the weekend.

Bitcoin ETFs net $867 million as Strategy scoops up additional $1.3 billion worth of BTC

Bitcoin ETFs net $867 million as Strategy scoops up additional $1.3 billion worth of BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) briefly crossed $105,450 before declining to $101,400 on Monday as CoinShares' report revealed that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $867 million in net inflows last week.

Memecoins on the move: WIF, BOME, and FLOKI post double-digit gains as US-China agree on tariff reduction

Memecoins on the move: WIF, BOME, and FLOKI post double-digit gains as US-China agree on tariff reduction

Dogwifhat, Book of Meme, and FLOKI extend their double-digit rallies on Monday, adding to last week’s surge. The rally is driven by growing risk-on sentiment in crypto markets after the US and China agreed to major tariff reductions.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025