GBP/USD Price Analysis: Refreshes weekly high, eyes 200-day SMA near mid-1.2100s

GBP/USD climbs to a fresh weekly high on Thursday amid sustained USD selling bias.
Dovish remarks by Fed Chair Powell, weaker US bond yields weigh on the greenback.
The technical set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for further gains.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair builds on the previous day's goodish rebound from a one-week low and gains traction for the second successive day on Thursday. The pair maintains its bid tone through the first half of the European session and hits a fresh weekly high, around the 1.2130-1.2135 area in the last hour.

The overnight dovish-sounding remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, along with a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive near a multi-month low. Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets is seen undermining the safe-haven buck and acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, spot prices have now moved well within the striking distance of the very important 200-day SMA. The said barrier is currently pegged near the 1.2150 area, which if cleared will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and set the stage for an extension of the near-term appreciating move for the GBP/USD pair.

Given that oscillators on the daily chart are holding in the bullish territory and are still far from being in the overbought zone, the GBP/USD pair might then aim to reclaim the 1.2200 mark. The momentum could further get extended and lift spot prices to the top boundary of over a two-month-old ascending channel, currently around the 1.2300 round figure.

On the flip side, any meaningful pullback below the 1.2100 mark now seems to find decent support near the daily low, around the 1.2045 region. A convincing break below might prompt some technical selling and drag the GBP/USD pair back toward the 1.2000 psychological mark. Some follow-through selling will expose the 1.1945-1.1940 horizontal support.

The latter should act as a strong base for spot prices, which if broken decisively will negate any near-term positive bias and pave the way for a deeper corrective decline. The GBP/USD pair might then turn vulnerable to weaken further below the 1.1900 mark and test the next relevant support near the 1.1860-1.1855 horizontal zone.

GBP/USD daily chart

Key levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.212
Today Daily Change	0.0064
Today Daily Change %	0.53
Today daily open	1.2056

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.1786
Daily SMA50	1.1455
Daily SMA100	1.1647
Daily SMA200	1.2161

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2087
Previous Daily Low	1.19
Previous Weekly High	1.2154
Previous Weekly Low	1.1779
Previous Monthly High	1.2154
Previous Monthly Low	1.1147
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2016
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.1972
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.1942
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.1828
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.1755
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2128
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2201
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2315

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold sticks to gains above $5,350 amid sustained safe-haven demand; firmer USD caps gains

Gold sticks to its positive bias for the third straight day and trades above the $5,350 level heading into the European session on Tuesday. Concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.