|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rises back above the 1.2200 mark, supported by 50-DMA

  • GBP/USD bull run pauses ahead of FOMC meeting.
  • Odds are rising for BoE’s potential pause in a rate hike.
  • UK CPI data are likely to be overshadowed by the Fed decision. 
GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rises back above the 1.2200 mark, supported by 50-DMA

GBP/USD's bull run stalls at a long-ended descending trendline originating from the 1.3768 mark on a daily timeframe. This bullish surge is driven by broad-based US Dollar weakness amid falling US Treasury yields. Additionally, increasing expectations for the Bank of England (BoE) to pause rates at their upcoming meeting also support the bullish momentum for Cable.

With the bullish bias intact, a convincing break above the trendline could propel the pair toward the twice-tested 2023 high. Downside declines will likely be limited by the 50-Day Moving Average (DMA), situated below the previous day's low at around 1.2146. A convincing break below this level would likely lead the pair to confront the 21-DMA at the 1.2016 level.

The last line of support is observed at 1.1800, beyond which there is a vast uncharted territory.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals a higher high, supporting further bullish momentum.

Market participants are now focused on the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released on Wednesday and the highly anticipated Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision. The significance of the upcoming Fed meeting is likely to overshadow the UK's CPI data.

All key levels will be monitored closely during the Fed event.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.