|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: More downside looks inevitable on Double Top breakdown near 1.1850

  • GBP/USD has taken a sigh of relief after a nosedive move near 1.1825, more downside looks inevitable.
  • Fed Powell’s extremely hawkish remarks on interest rate guidance have spooked market sentiment.
  • A breakdown of crucial support after a Double Top formation has confirmed a bearish reversal.

The GBP/USD pair has turned sideways around 1.1825 in the early Asian session after a nosedive move from the psychological resistance of 1.2000. The downside bias in the Cable looks not over yet as the currencies have to bear the volatility associated with the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) after sheer volatility inspired by the commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell.

S&P500 futures were heavily dumped by investors as more rates from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have made the US economy prone to recession. A dismal US economic outlook sent the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a fresh three-month high at 105.65. The return delivered on 10-year US Treasury bonds is around 3.97%.

The remarks from Fed Powell in his testimony before Congress forced investors to underpin the risk aversion theme. Powell said the “ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated,” after the “latest economic data have come in stronger than expected.”

GBP/USD has delivered a breakdown of the Double Top chart pattern formed on a daily scale plotted from December 15 high at 1.2447. A slippage below the horizontal support placed from January 06 low at 1.1841 confirms a bearish reversal.

The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2064 is acting as a major barricade for the Pound Sterling.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped below 40.00 for the first time in the past one month. More downside looks inevitable as the RSI (14) is not showing any sign of divergence and oversold.

Should the Cable break below the round-level support of 1.1800, US Dollar bulls will drag the asset further toward November 17 low at 1.17633 followed by November 14 low around 1.1700.

On the flip side, a move above February 24 high at 1.2040 will drive the asset toward February 23 high around 1.2080. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to February 21 high around 1.2140.

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1834
Today Daily Change-0.0185
Today Daily Change %-1.54
Today daily open1.2019
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2047
Daily SMA501.214
Daily SMA1001.1992
Daily SMA2001.1913
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2049
Previous Daily Low1.1993
Previous Weekly High1.2143
Previous Weekly Low1.1922
Previous Monthly High1.2402
Previous Monthly Low1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2014
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2028
Daily Pivot Point S11.1992
Daily Pivot Point S21.1964
Daily Pivot Point S31.1936
Daily Pivot Point R11.2047
Daily Pivot Point R21.2076
Daily Pivot Point R31.2103

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold: $4,150 remains a tough nut to crack as US CPI report looms

Gold pauses recovery near $4,150 as sellers jump in amid pre-US CPI profit-taking. US Dollar licks wounds amid US-Iran optimism and falling Oil prices-led easing inflation concerns. Gold reclaimed key 21-day SMA support on the daily chart as RSI flipped bullish.

XRP and XLM extend losses as bears hold strong
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) remain under pressure, trading below $1.093 and around $0.146 respectively on Tuesday as bears maintain control of momentum. In addition, weakening on-chain and derivatives metrics suggest that both XRP and XLM are at risk of a deeper correction in the coming days. CryptoQuant’s summary data shows a bearish outlook for both altcoins.
This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.