|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Ascending triangle breakdown on 4H targets 1.2158

  • GBP/USD hovers near two-year lows on risk-off trading, UK growth woes.
  • Cable confirmed an ascending triangle breakdown on the 4H chart on Wednesday.
  • Bears gear up for the additional downside towards the pattern target of 1.2158.

GBP/USD is trading back below 1.2200 following a temporary pullback to near the 1.2230 region, as disappointing UK GDP data continues to power GBP bears.

The UK economy contracted 0.1% in March while expanding merely 0.8% QoQ in the first quarter of 2022, backing the BOE’s forecasts of a likely recession later this year.

The downbeat UK growth data combined with the risk-off market profile keeps the downside pressure intact on cable.

Investors shrugged off the upbeat comments from the BOE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, as he said that “the central bank isn’t talking down the economy in forecasts.”

Also read: UK Preliminary GDP expands 0.8% QoQ in Q1 vs. 1.0% expected

Looking at cable’s four-hour chart, Wednesday’s confirmation of the ascending triangle breakdown, below the 1.2310 rising trendline support, has opened floors for a test of the pattern target measured at 1.2158.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is probing the oversold territory around 30.00, allowing room for more downside.

Should the abovementioned key support give way, a test of the 1.2100 round figure will be inevitable.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

On the other side, any recovery attempts will need acceptance above daily highs of 1.2255.

The next upside target is seen at the bearish 21-Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2302, above which the triangle support (now resistance) at 1.2323 will come into play.

GBP/USD: Additional technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2180
Today Daily Change-0.0075
Today Daily Change %-0.61
Today daily open1.2255
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2661
Daily SMA501.2938
Daily SMA1001.3233
Daily SMA2001.3413
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.24
Previous Daily Low1.2238
Previous Weekly High1.2638
Previous Weekly Low1.2276
Previous Monthly High1.3167
Previous Monthly Low1.2411
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2338
Daily Pivot Point S11.2195
Daily Pivot Point S21.2135
Daily Pivot Point S31.2032
Daily Pivot Point R11.2358
Daily Pivot Point R21.246
Daily Pivot Point R31.252

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slips toward 1.3350 after soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD erases recovery gains and slips toward 1.3350 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, tempering the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. Traders also assess the ongoing Mideast tensions amid a pause in the US Dollar uptrend.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1400 amid US Dollar retreat

EUR/USD holds positive ground above 1.1400 in European trading on Wednesday, helped by hawkish ECB expectations and a broad US Dollar retreat. However, persisting Middle East tensions and surging Oil prices keep the pair's upside elusive.

Gold holds gains above $4,100 undaunted by risk-off markets

Gold extends gains for the fourth consecutive day, standing comfortably above $4,100, unfazed by the risk-off market amid rising tensions in Iran and higher Oil prices. The pair has rallied nearly 2.5% so far this week and is on track for its best weekly performance in more than three months.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.