- GBP/USD seesaws around seven-week high, pauses two-day uptrend.
- BoE matches market forecasts and announced 0.25% rate hike, showing readiness for more if inflation stays high.
- Fed’s dovish hike, banking crisis weigh on Treasury bond yields and US Dollar.
- Mixed US data allowed markets to consolidate recent moves ahead of a slew of data.
GBP/USD bulls take a breather around the highest levels in nearly two months, making rounds to 1.2290 after rising in the last two consecutive days, as the volatile week is left with one last ball to play. The Cable pair cheered the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish rate hike, as well as the Bank of England’s (BoE) readiness for more rate increases to renew the multi-day top of late. However, the mixed US data and sentiment seem to allow the quote to pare recent gains ahead of the key statistics.
On Thursday, the Bank of England (BoE) raised the policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.25%, as expected. The policy statement highlighted an increase in Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast while also estimating a slower growth in Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the same. "UK banking system is well-placed to support the economy, including in a period of higher interest rates," added the BoE statement. It should be noted, however, that the policymakers clearly showed readiness for more rate hikes if inflation stays high, which in turn allowed the GBP/USD to remain firmer.
On the other hand, the US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) dropped to -0.19 in February versus 0.0 expected and 0.23 prior. Further, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 191K for the week ended on March 18, versus 192K prior and 203K market forecasts. It should be noted that the US New Home Sales rose 1.1% in February from 1.8% prior, versus 1.6% analysts’ estimation.
It should be noted that the US Treasury Secretary’s testimony in front of the House Appropriations Financial Services Subcommittee probed the market’s previous risk-on mood and allowed the US Dollar Index (DXY) to pare losses at the seven-week low. “China and Russia may want to develop an alternative to the US dollar,” while also showing preparedness for additional deposit actions `if warranted'. “Strong actions have been taken to ensure deposits are safe,” said US Treasury Secretary Yellen.
Amid these plays, Wall Street pared intraday gains and closed with a light green number whereas the Treasury bond yields also recovered but failed to post a positive closing.
Moving on, UK Retail Sales for February and preliminary readings of the UK and US PMIs for March will be crucial for the GBP/USD pair traders.
A 10-month-old resistance line, around 1.2345 by the press time, restricts immediate GBP/USD upside amid overbought RSI.
Additional important levels
|Today last price||1.229|
|Today Daily Change||0.0025|
|Today Daily Change %||0.20%|
|Today daily open||1.2265|
|Previous Daily High||1.2336|
|Previous Daily Low||1.2209|
|Previous Weekly High||1.2204|
|Previous Weekly Low||1.201|
|Previous Monthly High||1.2402|
|Previous Monthly Low||1.1915|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||1.2287|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||1.2257|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||1.2204|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||1.2143|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||1.2077|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||1.2331|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||1.2397|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||1.2458|
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Follow us on Telegram
Stay updated of all the news
EUR/USD drops toward 1.0650 ahead of German inflation data
EUR/USD is falling toward 1.0650 in European trading. Dismal China's Manufacturing PMI and pre-US debt deal vote anxiety support the safe-haven US Dollar while markets pare ECB rate hike bets after softer French inflation data. German inflation data, Fedspeak and US House vote eyed.
GBP/USD extends losses toward 1.2350 amid firmer US Dollar
GBP/USD is extending losses toward 1.2350 in the European session. Markets stay jittery amid China growth worries and ahead of the US House vote on the debt deal. Hawkish Fed's Mester underpins the ongoing US Dollar upsurge. More Fedspeak in focus.
Gold price rebound eyes $1,990 and US factors
Gold Price picks up bids to refresh intraday high as buyers cheer a two-day winning streak, after refreshing the lowest levels in 10 weeks. In doing so, the XAU/USD fails to justify the latest rebound in the DXY but aptly cheers the downbeat Treasury bond yields.
BTC bulls recovery plan targets $30,000 as bears exhaust
Bitcoin action slows down, allowing bears to doubt their strength. As more time elapses, the chances of bulls taking over control of BTC become more likely. A spillover effect would be noticeable in Ethereum and Ripple prices.
Risk off flow into month end
We had warned against the market wanting to get overly excited about the news of a US debt ceiling deal that was always going to get done. And now that this reality is coming to fruition, it’s back to focusing on the market drivers where investors need to focus.