|

GBP/USD: Outlook remains positive – UOB

Further advance in GBP/USD appears on the cards, although Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang and Economist Lee Sue Ann at UOB Group note a probable test of 1.1760 seems to have lost momentum.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We highlighted last Friday that ‘the price movement is likely part of a consolidation’ and we expected GBP to ‘trade within a range of 1.1485/1.1625’. Our view of consolidation was not wrong even though GBP traded within a narrower range than expected (1.1504/1.1622). The underlying tone has firmed somewhat and the bias for today is on the upside. However, a sustained rise above 1.1645 is unlikely (next resistance is at 1.1700). On the downside, a breach of 1.1525 (minor support is at 1.1560) would indicate that the current mild upward pressure has eased.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We turned positive on GBP early last week. In our latest narrative from last Thursday (27 Oct, spot at 1.1630), we indicated that GBP is still strong and we noted that the next level to monitor is at 1.1760. Since then, GBP has not been able to make much headway on the upside. However, we continue to hold a positive GBP view for now and only a break of 1.1440 (no change in ‘strong support’ level from last Friday) would indicate that GBP is not advancing further. That said, as upward momentum has waned, the odds of GBP advancing to the major resistance at 1.1760 have diminished.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).