|

GBP/USD: Next on the downside comes 1.3300 – UOB

Cable is poised to extend the downside in the short-term horizon, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We expected GBP to weaken yesterday but we were of the view that ‘the major support at 1.3354 is unlikely to come into the picture’. The subsequent weakness exceeded our expectations as GBP dropped to 1.3344 before rebounding. Downward momentum is beginning to wane and GBP is unlikely to weaken further. For today, GBP is likely to trade sideways between 1.3350 and 1.3410.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “On Monday (22 Nov, spot at 1.3435), we highlighted that ‘while GBP could dip below 1.3354, downward momentum is not strong and the chance for a sustained decline below this level is not high’. We added, ‘the next support is at 1.3300’. GBP dropped to 1.3344 yesterday (23 Nov) before rebounding. Despite the breach of 1.3354, downward momentum has barely improved. That said, as long as 1.3445 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.3480 yesterday) is not breached, there is chance, albeit a slim one, for GBP to edge lower towards 1.3300.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends weekly uptrend, trades above 1.3400

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains and holds above 1.3400 in the European session on Friday. The British Pound gains amid optimism on the UK government leadership transition and Bank of England rate hike bets. Meanwhile, the US Dollar loses ground on Middle East de-escalation and receding Fed rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1400

EUR/USD struggles to gather bullish momentum on Friday and trades in a relatively tight range above 1.1400. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict causes investors to cling to a cautious stance and limits the pair's upside. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve will publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold fails to build on recovery gains, seems vulnerable near $4,100

Gold struggles to build on Thursday's gains and fluctuates in a narrow channel, slightly above $4,100 on Friday. The uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal's upside as investors wait for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.